Tropical Depression 90W (32W/Pudol) Update #8 (FINAL)

Issued (0530 UTC) 0130pm PhT 111513
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NOTE: The death toll due to Super Typhoon Haiyan is now nearing 4,000. The people of the Philippines, especially in Visayas where millions have been affected by Super Typhoon Haiyan, still need your help. If you want to donate to the storm victims, please visit the Philippine Red Cross website below, thank you!
http://www.redcross.org.ph/

Tropical Depression Pudol has finally made landfall in Vietnam earlier this morning. The center of the storm was last located approximately 300km northeast of Ho Chi Minh City. Maximum sustained winds remain at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD Pudol is currently moving westward at 30kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows widespread but rather disorganized convection associated with TD Pudol spreading across Vietnam. Japan Meteorological Agency actually upgraded TD 90W/32W for a brief period that is why it earned the international name of Pudol. It made landfall in Central Vietnam earlier this morning and is now weakening rapidly over land.

As much as 200mm of rain could fall in the next 24 to 48 hours across parts of Indochina particularly in Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. Tropical Depression Pudol will continue rapidly weakening and should completely dissipate by tomorrow. However, residual rains may linger in the region for a couple more days.

This will be our final update on Tropical Depression Pudol.

Tropical Depression 90W (Zoraida) Update #7

Issued (03 UTC) 11am PhT 111413
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NOTE: The people of the Philippines, especially in Visayas where millions have been affected by Super Typhoon Haiyan, still need your help. If you want to donate to the storm victims, please visit the Philippine Red Cross website below, thank you!
http://www.redcross.org.ph/

Tropical Depression 90W continues to move across the South China Sea/West Philippine Sea and is nearing the coast of Vietnam. The circulation center was last located approximately 850km east northeast of the city of Ho Chi Minh. Maximum sustained winds remain at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD 90W is moving westward at 25kph.

IR Image from NRLMY

Latest satellite image is still showing a very disorganized system although strong convective activity have begun to form closer to the elongated low-level center. We no longer expect TD 90W to intensify into a Tropical Storm, however, since it is nearing land. Nevertheless, the system will still bring periods of light to moderate rains across Central Vietnam.

Tropical Depression 90W is forecast to continue moving westward and could make landfall in Vietnam later this evening or early tomorrow morning (Friday). Rains should begin to affect the coast beginning this afternoon and will continue through the next 24 to 48 hours. We're expecting up to 100mm of rain to fall and that could cause minor flooding and even landslides in some areas. After landfall, TD 90W is expected to continue weakening and dissipate thereafter.

We'll have another update tomorrow.

Tropical Depression 90W (Zoraida) Update #6

Issued (1330 UTC) 930pm PhT 111313
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NOTE: The people of the Philippines, especially in Visayas where millions have been affected by Super Typhoon Haiyan, still need your help. If you want to donate to the storm victims, please visit the Philippine Red Cross website below, thank you!
http://www.redcross.org.ph/

Tropical Depression 90W (Zoraida) is now moving into the South China Sea away from Palawan and the rest of the Philippine Islands. The center was last located approximately 220km northwest of Puerto Princesa City. Maximum sustained winds remain at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD 90W is moving westward at 30kph.

As we've mentioned in our previous update, PAGASA is no longer classifying 90W as a Tropical Depression, hence there are no signal warnings in effect for the country. However, since Japan Meteorological Agency is still giving warnings for this system, we'll continue to give daily updates.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows convection moving away from Palawan. The islands received rainfall amounts of anywhere from 50 to 100mm, especially along the northern half. Rains are ending and will continue to push away from the country.

Tropical Depression 90W may intensify slightly as it moves across the South China Sea in the next 24 to 48 hours. It is forecast to eventually impact Central Vietnam by this weekend, perhaps as a weak Tropical Storm and could bring rains in the region.

We'll have another update tomorrow.

Tropical Depression 90W (Zoraida) Update #5

Issued (05 UTC) 1pm PhT 111313
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NOTE: The people of the Philippines, especially in Visayas where millions have been affected by Super Typhoon Haiyan, still need your help. If you want to donate to the storm victims, please visit the Philippine Red Cross website below, thank you!
http://www.redcross.org.ph/

Tropical Depression 90W (Zoraida) is now crossing the northern portion of the island of Palawan. The center of the depression was last located approximately 180km north northeast of Puerto Princesa City. Maximum sustained winds remain at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD 90W is moving westward at 30kph.

Since PAGASA is not considering 90W a Tropical Depression, there are no Signal Warnings issued anywhere. However, the agency is warning for possible flooding and landslides across Palawan and nearby islands.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows convection flaring up near the center of 90W. However, we haven't really seen any substantial improvements regarding its organization and that is why every agency is keeping it at Tropical Depression status. Nevertheless, there is definitely plenty of rain associated with this system and much of which is falling in Palawan.

Radar from ClimateX PH

We expect around 50mm to 100mm of rain across parts of Palawan through the afternoon hours. Rains are also falling across Southern Luzon and the island of Mindoro as can be seen in the radar image above. Thankfully, much of Visayas is having calm and dry weather which is big help in the ongoing relief efforts in what is turning out to be a humanitarian crisis due to Super Typhoon Haiyan.

For the latest radar images and rainfall forecasts, click HERE (ClimateX PH)

Tropical Depression 90W will continue moving westward and should reach the South China Sea or the West Philippine Sea later tonight. It might try to intensify slightly as it reaches the open waters but the system should be moving out of the Philippines by that point. TD 90W may impact Central Vietnam this weekend as a weak Tropical Storm.

We'll have another update later today.

Tropical Depression Zoraida Update #4 (Video)

Issued (11 UTC) 7pm PhT 111213
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Tropical Depression Zoraida continues to move across Mindanao with rains falling across Mindanao and Visayas. The center was last located approximately 30km north northeast of Cagayan De Oro City or about 200km south southeast of Cebu City. Maximum sustained winds remain at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD Zoraida is currently moving westward at 30kph.

PAGASA has actually downgraded Zoraida into a Low Pressure Area, hence all Public Storm Warning Signals have now been lowered.

For more details on Zoraida and the situation in the Philippines please watch our video below:

 
For donations to the Philippine Red Cross, please follow the link below.
http://www.redcross.org.ph/

We'll have another update tomorrow morning. Stay safe!

Tropical Depression Zoraida Update #3 (LANDFALL)

Issued (0030 UTC) 830am PhT 111213
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Tropical Depression Zoraida is beginning to make landfall in Mindanao. The center was last located approximately 100km northeast of Davao City or about 400km southeast of Cebu City. Maximum sustained winds remain at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD Zoraida is moving west northwestward at 30kph.

As of 5am this morning, here is the list of provinces under Public Storm Warning Signal #1 issued by PAGASA:

Cuyo Island, Northern Palawan, The Calamian Group, Siquijor, Southern Cebu, Bohol, Negros Oriental, Negros Occidental, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Dinagat Province, Siargao Island, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Davao Oriental, Compostela Valley, Davao del Norte, Samal Island, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Lanao del Sur, North Cotabato, Camiguin Island, Northern Zamboanga del Norte, and Zamboanga del Sur.

The provinces above will continue to have cloudy skies with breezy winds of up to 60kph along with scattered light to moderate rains.

IR Image from NOAA

 
Latest satellite image shows convection associated with Tropical Depression Zoraida is overspreading into much of Mindanao bringing scattered rains in the region. The center of Zoraida is currently making landfall in the province of Davao Oriental. The system, overall, remains very weak which is a good thing because the Philippines really don't need another storm.

Radar Image from Cebu

 
Latest radar image from Cebu shows light to moderate rains with pockets of heavy rains moving across Visayas. Islands of Negros, Cebu, Bohol, and Leyte will continue to have on and off rains through tonight. Provinces in Mindanao such as Davao, Compostela Valley, Bukidnon, and Cotabato are also reporting moderate rains this morning. Overall, we're expecting 50 to 80mm of rainfall which could cause some flooding and landslides but hopefully nothing catastrophic. For the latest radar images and rainfall forecast, please click HERE (PROJECT NOAH)

Tropical Depression Zoraida will continue moving quickly to the west and will emerge into the Sulu Sea later tonight. Rains across Visayas should also begin to weaken later today and will move westward into Zamboanga Peninsula and Palawan. Zoraida might slightly intensify as it moves into the Sulu Sea. It will, then, exit into the West Philippine Sea (South China Sea) by tomorrow evening (Wednesday).

We'll have another update later today.

Tropical Depression Zoraida Update #2

Issued (1330 UTC) 930pm PhT 111113
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Tropical Depression Zoraida is nearing Mindanao and could bring rains in the region beginning tonight. The center was last located approximately 380km east of Davao City or about 500km southeast of Surigao City. Maximum sustained winds remain at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD Zoraida is currently moving west northwestward at 30kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Siquijor, Southern Cebu, Bohol, Negros Oriental, Negros Occidental, Southern Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Dinagat Island, Siargao Island, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Davao Oriental, Compostela Valley, Davao del Norte, Samal Island, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin Island.

These provinces will experience gusty winds of up to 60kph in the next 36 hours. Widespread rains should also be expected.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows convection has increased near the elongated low-level center. We haven't seen much improvements in the core, however, despite the increase in cloud cover that is why Zoraida remains at Tropical Depression. However, that doesn't mean this system will not pose any danger to the Philippines.

The increase in clouds also means that moderate to heavy rains will be more widespread as Zoraida nears the coast of Mindanao. We are expecting the center to make landfall in Surigao Del Sur later this evening or perhaps early at dawn tomorrow (Tuesday). Widespread moderate to heavy rains should be expected across much of Mindanao over the next 12 hours. There is a big risk for flash floods and landslides so if you live near the coast, rivers, and mountains, please consult your local officials for possible evacuations!

Rains will then spread into Visayas by tomorrow and will affect Bohol, Cebu, Negros, and nearby islands.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning. Stay safe!

Tropical Depression Haiyan Update #17 (FINAL)

Issued (13 UTC) 9pm PhT 111113
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Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) has weakened to a Tropical Depression and is finally dissipating over the Guangxi Province. The center was last located approximately 60km northeast of Nanning City. Maximum sustained winds are now down to 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD Haiyan is currently moving northeastward at 20kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the center of Haiyan becoming increasingly disorganized and difficult to identify. Convection is still present but is starting to be sheared to the northeast of the circulation center. Observations from Nanning City also indicate a decrease in wind speeds and an increase in atmospheric pressure, both of which point to Haiyan weakening.

Radar from CMA

Despite the weakening, latest radar from Guangxi Province shows widespread rains still linger across the region. Many places have already received as much as 400mm of rain since Saturday and even parts of Vietnam received heavy rains killing at least thirteen (13) dead according to one report. We haven't received any damage reports from China just yet.

Rains will continue across Guangxi and will spread into Guangdong Province by tomorrow and could bring as much as 100mm of rain. For the latest radar images and forecasts from China, please click HERE (CMA Website)

Tropical Depression Haiyan will continue dissipating tonight. Rains will linger for two more days across Southern China before totally dissolving. This will be our final update on Tropical Depression Haiyan. We'll continue to update you on the situation in the Philippines in our next Video Updates.

Stay safe!

Tropical Depression Zoraida Update #1

Issued (05 UTC) 1pm PhT 111113
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The newly-formed Tropical Depression Zoraida remains weak and very disorganized as it moves quickly across the Philippine Sea. The center was last located approximately 340km southwest of Palau or about 770km east southeast of Davao City. Maximum sustained winds are at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD Zoraida is moving west northwestward at 30kph.

As of 11am this morning, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Siquijor, Southern Cebu, Bohol, Negros Oriental, Southern Negros Occidental, Dinagat Island, Siargao Island, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Davao Oriental, Davao del Norte, Samal Island, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin Island.

These areas will experience breezy conditions with winds of up to 60kph. Widespread light to moderate rains will also impact the areas mentioned.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows a very disorganized Tropical Depression with very little convective activity and an elongated low-level circulation center. TD Zoraida is in a somewhat favorable environment but its fast forward speed is preventing it from really intensifying. However, the system can still bring rains across parts of Mindanao and Visayas in the next two days.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Our preliminary forecast track is showing Zoraida maintaining Tropical Depression intensity in the next two days. It will likely make landfall in Mindanao, south of the city of Surigao, by tomorrow morning (Tuesday). Light to moderate rains should be expected across the region. Zoraida will then move into Visayas affecting Bohol, Cebu, Negros, and nearby islands. It will exit into Palawan by Wednesday and could become a Tropical Storm by then.

We'll have another update later today.

Typhoon Haiyan Update #17 (LANDFALL)

Issued (0230 UTC) 1030am PhT 111013
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Haiyan (Known as Bagyong Yolanda in the Philippines) has finally made landfall in Northern Vietnam and is currently crossing into Southwestern China. The storm center was last located approximately 110km southwest of Nanning in Guanxi Province or about 220km northeast of Hanoi, Vietnam. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 110kph with gusts of up to 140kph making Haiyan a Tropical Storm. It is currently moving northward at 25kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows the central dense overcast of Haiyan moving into Southwestern China. Haiyan made landfall at around 8am local time as a Category 1 Typhoon and has since weakened to a Tropical storm. Heavy rains, storm surge, and strong winds continue across much of the region although weather should improve for Northern Vietnam later tonight.

Radar from CMA

 
Latest radar out of China's Guangxi Province shows widespread light to moderate rains moving into the region. As much as 350mm of rain has already been recorded in parts of Guangxi and Hainan Island since yesterday. Strong winds of up to 140kph were also recorded in some coastal communities. Rains will continue for another 48 hours as Haiyan moves northeastward across Guangxi. We're expecting another 100 to even 200mm of rain to fall so flooding and landslides are still possible.

For the latest radar images and forecasts from China, please click HERE (CMA Website)

Meanwhile back in Vietnam, latest news reports say that six (6) people have already been confirmed dead due to Typhoon Haiyan. We expect more damage reports out of Vietnam later today but it shouldn't be as catastrophic as in the Philippines where the death toll just continues to rise.

People in the Philippines still need our help. If you want to donate, please go to the Philippine Red Cross by clicking HERE

We'll have more updates later this afternoon including the latest on the newly-formed Tropical Depression, Bagyong Zoraida. Stay safe!

Typhoon Haiyan Update #16 (VIDEO)

Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 111013
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If you have any images or videos, please share them with us through westernpacificweather, on our Facebook Page, or on my email at philippineweather@yahoo.com

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Typhoon Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) continues to move near Hainan Island and is on its way towards Northern Vietnam. The storm center was last located approximately 230km southwest of Haikou, Hainan or about 400km southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam. Haiyan is down to a Category 1 Typhoon with maximum sustained winds of 150kph with gusts of up to 185kph. It is currently moving northwestward at 30kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows rainclouds covering much of Hainan as the storm brushes the southwestern part of the island. The coastal city of Sanya recorded winds of up to 140kph. Furthermore, rainfall amounts of up to 250mm have been recorded across Hainan. We expect another 50 to 100mm to fall in the next 12 hours. Haiyan will move towards Northern Vietnam making landfall near Hanoi later tonight. Heavy rains, strong winds, and storm surge will threaten Vietnam and could bring widespread damages there.

For more information on Haiyan and the ongoing relief operations in the Philippines, please watch our video below:

We detail the threats of Haiyan for Vietnam. We also give an update on the situation in the Philippines and the first images out of Guiuan, Eastern Samar showing the destruction in that town. We are also updating viewers on the possible storm that could impact the Philippines this week. If it does form, PAGASA will give the name Bagyong Zoraida and could bring rains for Visayas.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

Typhoon Haiyan Update #15

Issued (2330 UTC) 730am PhT 111013
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Typhoon Haiyan (Formerly Bagyong Yolanda) continues to weaken as it nears Hainan and Vietnam. The storm center was last located approximately 410km south of Haikou, Hainan or about 720km southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam. Maximum sustained winds are now down to 165kph with gusts of up to 205kph making Haiyan a strong Category 2 Typhoon. It is currently moving west northwestward at 35kph.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image shows the central dense overcast remaining strong and symmetrical. However, the eye is no longer visible and the core is also becoming worse as the waters near Vietnam are no longer warm enough to support strong cyclones. Nevertheless, there is still ample outflow which is helping to slow down the intensification trend.

Typhoon Haiyan will move near Hainan Island later this morning bringing strong winds, heavy rains, and high waves especially along the southern portions of the island. Parts of Northern and Central Vietnam will also begin to see light to moderate rains later today as the system moves closer. Haiyan will continue moving generally northwestward and could make landfall in Northern Vietnam later this evening as a Category 1.

Despite the weakening, we urge everyone in Vietnam, especially in Hanoi, to please remain alert and heed the warnings of your local officials! The angle of approach of Haiyan will bring massive amounts of rainfall and even storm surge along the coast. While not as bad as the Philippines, a water rise of up to 4 feet is still expected putting the entire Red River Delta at risk. Furthermore, rainfall accumulations of up to 300mm could bring widespread flooding in the region.

We'll have another update later this afternoon regarding the impacts in the Philippines as well as the developing disturbance in the Western Pacific. Stay safe!

Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) Update #14 (w/ Video)

Issued (09 UTC) 5pm PhT 110913
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NOTE: If you have any images or videos showing the aftermath of the storm, please share them with us at philippineweather@yahoo.com or by our Facebook Page HERE

Typhoon Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) has finally left the Philippine Area of Responsibility and is now heading towards Vietnam. The storm center was last located approximately 750km west of Manila or about 650km southeast of Da Nang, Vietnam. Maximum sustained winds have decreased slightly to 195kph with gusts of up to 240kph. Typhoon Haiyan is moving west northwestward at 30kph.

Watch our video below for the in-depth details on Typhoon Haiyan and the trail of destruction that it left across the Central Philippines.

Typhoon Haiyan will move towards Vietnam and will likely make landfall just south of Vietnam by early Monday morning as a strong Category 2 typhoon. Widespread heavy rains will bring flooding across Hanoi and the Red River Delta. Strong winds of up to 160kph and storm surges of up to 6 feet could batter the coast. Parts of Southwestern China (especially Hainan Island) and Laos could also see some stormy conditions brought by Haiyan.

We are also watching a potential cyclone that could impact the Philippines by next week. That portion is near the end of the video.

We'll have another update later tonight. Stay safe!

Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) Update #13

Issued (0130 UTC) 930am PhT 110813
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NOTE: We're starting to compile videos and images from Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda). If you have any images or videos showing the impact of this storm in your area, please share them with us at philippineweather@yahoo.com or you can post them on our Facebook Page at Sa Gitna ng Bagyo. You will be fully credited, thank you!

Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) has finally weakened from a Super Typhoon but remains a very strong Category 4 system. The storm center was last located approximately 400km northwest of Puerto Princesa City, Palawan or about 560km southwest of Manila. Maximum sustained winds have gone down to 215kph with gusts of up to 260kph. Typhoon Haiyan is moving westward at 30kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has lowered all Signal #3 and Signal #4; here are the remaining warnings:

Signal #2: extreme northern Palawan, and Calamian Group of Islands.

Signal #1: Occidental Mindoro, Lubang Island, Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Marinduque, Batangas, northern Palawan including Puerto Princesa City, Cuyo Island, northern Aklan, Boracay Island, northern Antique, and Semirara Island.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows the Central Dense Overcast (CDO) of Haiyan/Yolanda now moving into the South China Sea/West Philippine Sea. The eye is also trying to form again as it emerges into the open waters. We may see slight intensification in the next 12 hours but we're not expecting the system to reach Super Typhoon status any longer.

Bands of light to moderate rains are still affecting parts of Central and Northern Luzon. There could still be as much as 50mm of rain falling in the next 6 to 12 hours and landslides and flooding are still possible. Winds of up to 80kph are also continuing to blow across Western Philippines including Palawan, Mindoro, and Southern Luzon. Much of Visayas is now seeing improving weather and they could even see the sun later this afternoon.

Typhoon Haiyan will continue moving westward across the South China Sea and should leave the Philippine Area of Responsibility for good later today. Haiyan will then move towards Vietnam and could make landfall there by tomorrow afternoon (Sunday) as a weakening Category 2 typhoon.

We'll have another update later this afternoon.

Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) Update #12

Issued (1330 UTC) 930pm PhT 110813
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Super Typhoon Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) has weakened to a Category 4 but remains a very powerful and dangerous cyclone. The eye was last located approximately 15km west of Coron, Palawan or about 300km south southwest of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are down to 250kph with gusts of up to 305kph. STY Haiyan is moving west northwestward at 35kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, here are the latest Signal Warnings from PAGASA:

Signal #4: extreme northern Palawan, Calamian Group of Island, southern Occidental Mindoro, southern Oriental Mindoro, Aklan, Capiz, Antique, Iloilo, and Guimaras.

Signal #3: rest of Mindoro provinces, Romblon, rest of northern Palawan, including Puerto Princesa City.

Signal #2: Lubang Island, Batangas, Marinduque, rest of Palawan, Burias Island, Masbate, Ticao Island, Negros provinces, Cebu, and Biliran Island.

Signal #1: Metro Manila, Bataan, Cavite, Rizal, Laguna, Quezon, Camarines provinces, Albay, Samar provinces, Leyte provinces, Camotes Island, Bohol, Siquijor, Sorsogon, Camiguin, Surigao del Norte, and Dinagat Province.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows that Super Typhoon Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) has slightly recovered as it moves across Mindoro Strait. The system weakened down to a Category 4 typhoon after crossing the islands of Samar, Leyte, Cebu, and Panay earlier today. It impacted major cities in the Visayas such as Tacloban, Ormoc, Cebu, Bacolod, Iloilo, Roxas, Kalibo, and even Boracay. Right now, the eye is moving into Coron, Palawan and will begin to exit to the West Philippine Sea (South China Sea) later tonight.

Radar Image from ClimateX PH

Latest radar image out of Tagaytay shows bands of moderate to heavy rains now impacting parts of Mindoro, Palawan, and Luzon. Bands of intense rains associated with the eyewall are moving across Mndoro and near Coron. This is where intense rainfall rates and strong winds can be felt. Meanwhile, a separate band of heavy rains is moving through Southern and Central Luzon affecting CALABARZON, Metro Manila, and provinces north such as Bulacan and Pampanga.

All in all, we're expecting anywhere from 100 to as much as 200mm of rain overnight which could bring widespread flooding and landslides. For the latest radar images and rainfall forecasts please click HERE (ClimatX PH).

As far as the effects and reports from the affected areas, we have received a report of at least four (4) people dead so far and dozens injured. Provinces in Samar, Leyte, and nearby islands remain isolated and in total blackout due to the storm. Widespread damages have been reported and documented across Tacloban and Ormoc Cities. We have yet to receive any report from Panay Island particularly in Roxas City and also in Boracay.

If you have your own reports to share or images and videos, please feel free to share them on our Facebook Page and also by emailing me at philippineweather@yahoo.com

We'll have another update tomorrow morning. Stay safe!

Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) Update #11 (VIDEO)

Issued (0630 UTC) 230pm PhT 110813
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Super Typhoon Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) is now moving across the island of Panay bringing strong winds and heavy rains across the region. The storm center was last located approximately 25km south of Roxas City, 60km southeast of Kalibo, or about 70km north of Iloilo City. Maximum sustained winds have decreased slightly to 295kph with gusts of up to 360kph. STY Haiyan is currently moving west northwestward at 35kph.

For more info on this storm, please watch our video below:

Meanwhile, here is the complete list of Public Storm Warning Signals from PAGASA as of 11am this morning:

Signal #4: Southern Occidental Mindoro, Southern Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Calamian Group of Island, Masbate, Northern Cebu, Cebu City, Bantayan Island, Northern Negros Occidental, Aklan, Capiz, Antique, Iloilo, and Guimaras.

Signal #3:  Rest of Occidental Mindoro, Rest of Oriental Mindoro, Burias Island, Sorsogon, Marinduque, Ticao Island, Northern Palawan, Puerto Princesa City, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Bohol, Rest of Cebu, Negros Oriental, Rest of Negros Occidental, Camotes Island, Biliran Province, and Dinagat Province.

Signal #2: Bataan, Metro Manila, Rizal, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Southern Quezon, Camarines Sur, Lubang Island, Rest of Palawan, Siquijor, Albay, Surigao del Norte, Siargao, and Camiguin.

Signal #1: Pampanga, Zambales, Bulacan, Camarines Norte, Rest of Quezon, Polilio Island, Catanduanes, Surigao del Sur, Misamis Oriental, and Agusan del Norte.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image shows clouds associated with Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) continuing to move across the islands in Visayas. The eye is no longer visible as the system continues to weaken due to numerous island crossings it made this morning. We have also highlighted the places and cities that are still under threat by this very powerful and dangerous typhoon.

We'll have another update later tonight. Stay safe!

Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) Update #10 (LANDFALL)

Issued (22 UTC) 6am PhT 110813
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Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) is now making landfall in the town of Guiuan in Samar Island. Maximum sustained winds have increased even further to 315kph with gusts that could reach as high as 380kph! These are very catastrophic winds that extend about 20km away from the eye. However, even areas that are up to 100km away from the eye can still get damaging winds of up to 120kph.

As of 5am this morning, here are the latest warnings from PAGASA:

Signal #4: Masbate, Ticao Island, Southern Sorsogon, Romblon, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Leyte. Southern Leyte, Biliran, Northern Cebu, Cebu City, Bantayan, Camotes Islands, Northern Negros, Occidental, Capiz, Aklan, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, and Dinagat Island.

Signal #3: Rest of Sorsogon, Burias Island, Albay, Marinduque, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Calamian Group of Islands, Rest of Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, Rest of Cebu, Bohol, Surigao del Norte, and Siargao Island.

Signal #2: Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Southern Quezon, Laguna, Batangas, Rizal, Metro Manila, Cavite, Bataan, Lubang Islands, Northern Palawan, Puerto Princesa, Siquijor, Camiguin, Surigao Del Sur, and Agusan Del Norte.

Signal #1: Camarines Norte, Rest of Quezon, Polilio Island, Bulacan, Pampanga, Zambales, Misamis Oriental, and Agusan del Sur.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the eye beginning to move near the town of Guiuan. That town will be devastated with winds of up to 380kph. Even eastern portions of Samar Island will face winds of more than 200kph and storm surge of up to 15 feet! Tacloban City will also start to feel winds of 200kph or more in the next half hour with winds of up to 300kph possible by 7am this morning. Storm surge of up to 10 feet is also possible in the city.

Radar Image from ClimateX PH

Meanwhile, latest radar shows the eye of Yolanda moving closer into Visayas. Bands of heavy rains are already affecting many areas and will continue to do so in the next 6 to 12 hours. We're expecting as much as 300mm of rain that could bring widespread flooding and landslides. For more radar images and rainfall forecast, please click HERE (ClimateX PH)

We'll have a more detailed update later this morning. Stay safe!

Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) Update #9

Issued (17 UTC) 1am PhT 110813

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Super Typhoon Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) continues to move closer towards Eastern Philippines. The eye was last located approximately 160km southeast of Guiuan, Samar; 200km northeast of Surigao City; or about 240km southeast of Tacloban City. Maximum sustained winds are at 305kph with gusts of up to 370kph. STY Haiyan is moving west northwestward at 35kph.

As of 11pm this evening, here are the list of Public Storm Warning Signals from PAGASA.

Signal #4: Masbate, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Biliran Province, extreme Northern Cebu , Bantayan Island, Capiz, Aklan, Northern Antique , and Northern Iloilo.

Signal #3: Ticao Island, Sorsogon, Romblon, Calamian Group of Island, Rest of Antique, Rest of Iloilo, Guimaras, Northern Negros Occidental, Northern Negros Oriental, Bohol, Northern Cebu , Cebu City , Camotes Island, Siargao Island, and Dinagat Province.

Signal #2: Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, Albay, Extreme Northern Palawan, Burias islands, rest of Negros Occidental, rest of Negros Oriental, Siquijor, Rest of Cebu, Camiguin, Surigao Del Norte, Surigao Del Sur, and Agusan Del Norte.

Signal #1: Metro Manila, Bataan, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Southern Quezon, Laguna, Rizal, Cavite, Batangas, Lubang Island, Rest of Northern Palawan, Puerto Princesa, Misamis Oriental, and Agusan del Sur.

IR Image from FNMOC

 

Latest satellite image shows a perfect looking cyclone with strong convective activity surrounding a cloud-free eye. This is certainly the strongest typhoon I’ve ever seen in years and will pose a very big and catastrophic threat across much of Visayas!

Radar from PAGASA

 

Latest radar image out of Guiuan courtesy of DOST PAGASA, Samar shows the eye of Haiyan/Yolanda moving nearer to the country. Heavy rains are now being reported across much of Cebu, Bohol, Leyte, Samar, Dinagat, Siargao, and parts of Northern Mindanao including Surigao. Winds of up to 60kph are also starting to be felt and will only get stronger in the next few hours.

For the latest radar images, and other forecasts, please visit PROJECT NOAH by clicking HERE

Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda will keep moving west northwestward and will make landfall near Guiuan in Samar by around 6am this morning. The strongest winds of up to 300kph extend 30km away from the eye so coastal towns of Southern Samar and Leyte will feel the brunt of this system. The eye of Haiyan will pass near the city of Tacloban by 7am in the morning and will bring widespread damage there. Haiyan/Yolanda will then move near the islands of Cebu, Masbate, Romblon, Panay, and Mindoro in the afternoon.

The storm is less than 12 hours away! We encourage everyone to hunker down if you’re not in evacuation centers yet! Find the strongest place in your house away from doors and windows! Make sure to stay away from the coast and rivers to avoid the rising waters from floods and storm surges.

We’ll have another update later this morning. Stay safe!

Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) Update #8

Issued (1330 UTC) 930pm PhT 110713
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Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) has intensified even further to the upper reaches of Category 5 Super Typhoon intensity! The eye of Yolanda was last located approximately 270km southeast of Guiuan, Samar; 280km east northeast of Surigao City; or about 350km southeast of Tacloban City. Maximum sustained winds are now at 305kph with gusts of up to 370kph! Super Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda is moving west northwestward at 35kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has issued the following Public Storm Warning Signals:

Signal #4: Eastern Samar, Samar, Leyte, Southern Leyte Biliran Province, extreme Northern Cebu including Bantayan Island, Capiz, Aklan, Northern Antique.

Signal #3: Masbate, Ticao Island, Sorsogon, Romblon and Calamian Group of Islands, Rest of Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Northern Negros Occidental, Northern Negros Oriental, Northern Cebu including Cebu City, NRN Samar, and Bohol, Siargao Island and Dinagat Province.

Signal #2: Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, Albay, Extreme Northern Palawan and Burias Is., Rest of Negros Occidental, Rest of Negros Oriental, Siquijor and Rest of Cebu, Camiguin, Surigao Del Norte, Surigao Del Sur and Agusan del Norte.

Signal #1: Camiguin, Surigao Del Norte, Surigao Del Sur and Agusan del Norte, Misamis Oriental and Agusan del Sur.

Areas under Signal #4 (winds of more than 185kph) will experience total devastation with many structures likely sustaining damage. Even concrete buildings will see some damages. Signal #3 (101 to 185kph) will have damaging winds as well and many structures could still see some damages. Signal #2 (61 to 100kph) should also expect strong winds that can topple small trees and blow some roofs. Wooden houses may still survive but residents are not recommended to stay in them. Signal #1 (up to 60kph) will have some strong winds but are not expected to bring widespread damages.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image shows a very menacing storm with a perfectly-defined eye surrounded by very strong convective activity. This is personally the strongest storm I've witnessed and could even rival Super Typhoon Megi (Juan) of 2010. Radial outflow is very good and the storm is just a classic textbook example of how a typhoon should look like.

Radar Image from ClimateX PH 

Unfortunately, we will see some widespread damages across much of Visayas. Rains are already impacting some islands there especially in Cebu, Bohol, Samar, and Leyte. The radar image above shows bands of light to moderate rains and some areas in red which signify heavy rains. There could be as much as 300mm of rainfall accumulating in the next 24 to 48 hours in the provinces I just mentioned.

For more radar images and rainfall forecasts, click HERE (ClimateX PH)

Another threat that we haven't really touched upon is the storm surge. We could see anywhere from 6 to 10 feet of water inundating many coastal locations. The very threatened city of Tacloban is just 15 feet above sea level and will surely be feeling the effects of the storm surge. Other coastal locations along the path of Yolanda will also see significant storm surge so if you live near the sea please move away now and go to the nearest evacuation centers if you are in Visayas!

Again, this is a very powerful and dangerous typhoon that will make landfall in less than 12 hours! Please, please follow the directions of your local officials. We are not an official agency so do not use our posts for life or death decisions. Stay safe! We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

Super Typhoon Haiyan (Yolanda) Update #7

Issued (06 UTC) 2pm PhT 110713
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Super Typhoon Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) continues to move closer towards Eastern Philippines. The eye of Haiyan was last located approximately 420km northwest of Palau or abou 630km east southeast of Surigao City. Maximum sustained winds are at 275kph with gusts of up to 330kph. STY Haiyan is moving west northwestward at 35kph.

As of 11am this morning, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #3 for Eastern Samar, Samar, Leyte, Southern Leyte, Siargao Island, and Dinagat. 

Signal #2 is up for Sorsogon, Masbate, Ticao Island, Northern Samar, Biliran Province, Bantayan, Camotes Islands, Northern Cebu, Cebu City, Bohol, Surigao Del Norte, Camiguin, Surigao Del Sure, and Agusan del Norte. 

Signal #1 is in effect for Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Mindoro Provinces, Burias Island, Romblon, Marinduque, Calamian Islands, Southern Quezon, Aklan, Capiz, Iloilo, Antique, Guimaras, Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, Rest of Cebu, Siquijor, Misamis Oriental, and Agusan del Sur.

Areas under Signal #3 should expect winds of up to 185kph in the next 18 hours. Trees, roofs, and other items outside will suffer damage and will be blown by the wind. Even some concrete homes could sustain some damages.

Areas under Signal #2 should expect winds of up to 100kph in the next 24 hours and could see some damages as well. Signal #1 will have winds of up to 60kph in the next 36 hours; not much damage although trees and roofs may still be blown around.

IR Image from FNMOC

 
Latest satellite image shows a perfectly-defined eye surrounded by very deep and strong convective activity. Radial outflow is also pretty good and banding is improving as well. Haiyan has completed an eyewall replacement cycle this morning and is looking really good on current satellite images. There really is no stopping this storm and we expect it to maintain its present intensity right before landfall.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

 
Super Typhoon Haiyan (Bagyong Yolanda) will continue moving west northwestward and should maintain its current intensity. Outer rain bands are already beginning to impact parts of Eastern Visayas. Rains and winds will only get worse as we move into the evening hours. Haiyan/Yolanda is forecast to make landfall either in the Southern Tip of Samar (near Guiuan) or in the island of Leyte. The timing would be around 6 or 8am tomorrow morning (Friday). Destructive winds of up to 300kph extend about 40km away from the center while winds of 120kph extend up to 100kph away. That means that Tacloban City, Catbalogan, Dinagat, and nearby islands will experience very catastrophic winds that will damage many properties by tomorrow.

Yolanda will keep moving west northwestward and will gradually weaken as it moves across the islands in the Visayas. It will move near the northern half of Cebu Island and then towards Panay, passing near the cities of Kalibo and Roxas. Even Boracay will be severely impacted by this typhoon. By Friday evening, the eye of Yolanda will then move towards Mindoro Island and then exit to the West Philippine Sea/South China Sea by early Saturday morning.

48-hour Rainfall Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Aside from the strong winds, we are also looking at the potential for very heavy rains across the region. Thankfully, Haiyan/Yolanda will be moving rather quickly so rainfall accumulations will be around 300mm or so in the worst areas. Still, flooding and landslides are likely in areas where they usually occur. Our map above details where we think the heaviest rains will fall. You can see that even parts of Southern Luzon (including Manila) and Northern Mindanao could see some rains. But the heaviest should be focused across Central Visayas particularly across Leyte, Samar, Bohol, Cebu, Negros, and Panay.

Please stay tuned and always heed the warnings of your local officials! We'll have another update later tonight. Stay safe!