Tropical Depression Linfa Update #11 (FINAL)

Issued (1030 UTC) 630pm PhT 071015
_________________________________

Tropical Depression Linfa is now dissipating across the Guangxi Province in Southern China. Maximum winds are between 35 and 65kph. TD Linfa is currently moving westward at 15kph.

Hong Kong Observatory has removed all typhoon-related warnings. Meanwhile, China Meteorological Administration has an Orange Typhoon Warning for Shanghai and a Yellow Typhoon Warning for Jiangsu but these are for Typhoon Chan-Hom.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Linfa made landfall in Guangdong Province yesterday as a Category 1 Typhoon. It moved westward bringing rainfall amounts of up to 100mm along with winds of up to 140kph, especially along the coast. The system has since rapidly weakened and has now crossed into Guangxi Province.

Tropical Depression Linfa will continue dissipating with the rain showers lingering overnight. This is our final update for this system. We'll have a separate update for Typhoon Chan-Hom later tonight.

Typhoon Linfa (Egay) Update #10

Issued (0030 UTC) 830am PhT 070915
_________________________________

Linfa (Bagyong Egay) has intensified overnight and is now a Category 1 Typhoon. The storm's center was last located approximately 60km south of Shantou or about 260km east of Hong Kong. Maximum sustained winds are now at 120kph with gusts of up to 150kph. Typhoon Linfa is currently moving west northwestward at 15kph.

The National Meteorological Center of China has issued a Yellow Typhoon Warning for the possible impacts of Linfa to Fujian and Guangdong Provinces. Meanwhile, Hong Kong Observatory has issued Signal Force No. 1 for the expected impacts from Linfa. Please heed the warnings of your local officials for the latest warnings and bulletins.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows Linfa has developed a small, but rugged, eye surrounded by strong convective activity. Microwave analysis (not shown here) reveals a well-developed eyewall with deep banding developing. Thankfully, Linfa is now nearing land and should no longer intensify significantly.

Radar Image from CMA

 
Latest radar image out of Guangdong Province shows the well-defined eyewall of Linfa characterized by bands of light to moderate, and sometimes, heavy rains. Some places have already received well upwards of 50mm of rainfall along with winds of up to 100kph. Stormy conditions will continue across the region, especially along the coastal areas, through this evening. Parts of Hong Kong will also start to see stormy conditions from Linfa beginning tonight and will last through tomorrow.

For China Meteorological Agency Website, please click HERE

For Hong Kong Observatory Website, please click HERE

We'll have another update later tonight.

Tropical Storm Linfa (Egay) Update #9

Issued (00 UTC) 8am PhT 070815
____________________________

Like our FACEBOOK PAGE for the latest updates on this storm!

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) has left the Philippine Area of Responsibility and is now moving towards Southern China. The storm center was last located approximately 420km northwest of Laoag City or about 460km east southeast of Hong Kong. Maximum sustained winds are at 85kph with gusts of up to 110kph. TS Linfa is currently moving north northwestward at 10kph.

PAGASA has now dropped all Public Storm Warning Signals for the Philippines.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows the core of Linfa continuing to linger across the South China Sea. The system slightly intensified overnight with strong convection firing within the low-level center.This intensification is expected to be brief, however, as dry air and increasing vertical wind shear will lead to weakening before the storm makes landfall.

Tropical Storm Linfa is no longer forecast to move into Taiwan. Instead, the storm is now forecast to make landfall in Guangdong Province in Southern China early tomorrow morning (Thursday). Widespread rains and strong winds should be expected along the coast. Even Hong Kong may see scattered rain showers due to Linfa by Thursday and Friday.

Despite Linfa (Egay) moving away from the Philippines, the system is still enhancing the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) which will continue bringing scattered rain showers across the country. It may even get worse as the approaching Typhoon Chan-Hom (Bagyong Falcon) moves across the Philippine Sea. With that said, rainy weather may dominate parts of Luzon and Visayas over the next few days.

We'll have a separate update for Typhoon Chan-Hom (Falcon) later this morning.

Tropical Storm Linfa (Egay) Update #8

Issued (01 UTC) 9am PhT 070715
____________________________

Like our FACEBOOK PAGE for the latest updates on this storm!

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) continues to linger across the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) this morning. The storm was last located approximately 240km northwest of Laoag or about 580km south southwest of Taipei. Maximum sustained winds remain at 75kph with gusts of up to 95kph. TS Linfa is moving northward at 10kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has issued a Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Ilocos Norte, Batanes, Babuyan and Calayan Group of Islands, Northwest of Cagayan, and Apayao.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image show Tropical Storm Linfa meandering across the South China Sea. Convective activity remains rather strong this morning, despite being slightly displaced southwest of the low-level circulation center. Moderate easterly wind shear is hindering Linfa from intensifying but the storm is still managing to enhance light to moderate rains across the western coast of Luzon.

Tropical Storm Linfa will continue moving slowly to the north and will be moving very near Southern Taiwan tomorrow. Light to moderate rains are possible in the island. Increasingly unfavorable conditions will lead to further weakening and we expect Linfa to become a Tropical Depression by Thursday as it makes landfall in Guangdong Province in China.

Tropical Storm Linfa (Egay) Update #7

Issued (0130 UTC) 930am PhT 070615
_________________________________

Like our FACEBOOK PAGE for the latest updates on this storm! 

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) continues to move slowly across the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) this morning. The storm center was last located approximately 150km northwest of Laoag City or about 500km north northwest of Manila. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 75kph with gusts of up to 95kph. TS Linfa is currently moving northward at 10kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Batanes, Cagayan, Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands, Apayao, Kalinga, Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte, and Abra. Signal #1 is in effect for Pangasinan, Isabela, Benguet, La Union, Mt. Province, and Ifugao.

VIS Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows the low-level circulation center of TS Linfa has been left fully exposed after crossing the island of Luzon last night. Much of the convection is displaced west of the center. Nevertheless, we are still seeing sporadic light to moderate rains associated with the southerly inflow of Linfa.

Provinces in Northern Luzon, particularly in Pangasinan, La Union, and Ilocos, received as much as 150mm of rainfall in the past 24 hours causing widespread flooding and landslides. Unfortunately, wet weather will continue for the region, albeit at a lower intensity than yesterday.

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) will continue moving slowly to the north and will be heading towards Taiwan. We are expecting the system to make landfall in the island sometime Thursday evening or Friday morning.

Tropical Storm Linfa (Egay) Update #6

Issued (16 UTC) 12am PhT 070615
_____________________________

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) is now moving into the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) after making landfall in Luzon Saturday morning. The storm center was last located approximately 130km southwest of Laoag City or about 380km north northwest of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are at 85kph with gusts of up to 110kph. TS Linfa is currently moving northwestward at 20kph.

As of 11pm this evening, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Batanes, Cagayan, Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands, Kalinga, Apayao, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and Abra. Signal #1 is in effect for Pangasinan, Isabela, Benguet, La Union, Mt. Province, and Ifugao.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows the core of Tropical Storm Linfa is now moving over the waters of the South China Sea. TS Linfa made landfall in Isabela yesterday morning (Sunday) and exited through Ilocos Norte. Bands of light to moderate rains still continue, however, with the southwesterly inflow still bringing moisture across Central Luzon including parts of Metro Manila. Wet weather will continue through the night and into the morning.

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) is now forecast to turn northward away from the Philippines. Expect unsettled weather to linger through later this evening, especially across Northern Luzon. Up to 200mm of rainfall were recorded in some parts of Luzon, causing flash floods and landslides. Local government in numerous cities have also canceled school and offices due to widespread flooding. TS Linfa should now move northward and is expected to affect Taiwan by tomorrow.

TS Linfa (Egay) Update #5 [LANDFALL]

Issued (01 UTC) 9am PhT 070515
_____________________________

Like our FACEBOOK PAGE for the latest updates on this storm!

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) has made landfall in the province of Isabela this morning and is currently crossing the extreme part of Northern Luzon. The storm center was last located approximately 40km south of Aparri or about 50km north northwest of Tuguegarao. Maximum sustained winds are at 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. TS Linfa is moving northwestward at 10kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Kalinga, Apayao, Isabela, Quirino, Northern Aurora, Cagayan, Babuyan and Calayan Group of Islands. Signal #1 for the Rest of Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Benguet, Mt. Province, Ilocos Sur, Abra, Ilocos Norte, and Batanes.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows the convection associated with Tropical Storm Linfa has now moved ashore into Northern Luzon. TS Linfa made landfall in Isabela Province earlier this morning and is now moving across Cagayan. Heavy rains are being reported in numerous towns in the area, along with gusty winds. We expect the stormy conditions to linger for the next 6 hours or so. Furthermore, southerly inflow is bringing bands of light to moderate rains across Central and Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila. Unsettled weather will continue for parts of the country this weekend.

Radar Image from DOST-PAGASA

Meanwhile, the latest radar image out of Aparri shows bands of light to moderate rains, with pockets of heavy rains, continue to make their way across the region. Up to 100mm of rainfall accumulations are possible before Linfa moves away from the area tonight. For the latest weather forecasts and radar images across the Philippines, please click HERE (Project NOAH).

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) will continue moving northwestward and will exit the island of Luzon later this afternoon. It will, then, turn northward and will move towards Taiwan by early next week.

Tropical Storm Linfa (Egay) Update #4

Issued (1330 UTC) 930pm PhT 070415
_________________________________

Like our FACEBOOK PAGE for the latest updates on this storm!

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) has maintained its intensity as it moves closer towards Luzon. The storm's center was last located approximately 140km northeast of Casiguran, Aurora or about 350km northeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds remain at 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. TS Linfa is currently moving northwestward at 15kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Kalinga, Apayao, Isabela, Quirino, Northern Aurora, Cagayan, Babuyan and Calayan Group of Islands. Signal #1 for Rest of Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Benguet, Mt. Province, Ilocos Sur, Abra, and Ilocos Norte.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows the strong convective activity associated with Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) are beginning to make their way towards Northern Luzon. Expect bands of light to moderate rains to spread throughout the region throughout the night with the heaviest rainfall likely across Northeastern Luzon, especially Cagayan, Aurora, and Isabela provinces. Up to 150mm of rainfall is possible over the next 24 hours.

Tropical Storm Linfa is forecast to continue moving slowly to the northwest and may make landfall early tomorrow morning (Sunday) near the Isabela, Cagayan border and will be passing near the cities of Ilagan, Tuguegarao, and Aparri. Stormy conditions will persist through tomorrow afternoon as Linfa turns northward towards the Batanes Islands. After that, Linfa is forecast to head towards Taiwan possibly as a Category 1 Typhoon.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning. Stay safe!

Tropical Storm Linfa (Egay) Update #3

Issued (0030 UTC) 830am PhT 070415
________________________________

Like our FACEBOOK PAGE for the latest updates on this storm! 

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) has intensified overnight as it continues to move closer to Luzon, Philippines. The storm center was last located approximately 280km east of Casiguran, Aurora or about 430km northeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are now at 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. TS Linfa is moving northwestward at 15kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Isabela, Quirino, and Northern Aurora. These provinces are forecast to get winds of 61-120kph in the next 24 hours.

Signal #1 is in effect for Rest of Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Benguet, Mt. Province, Kalinga, Apayao, Abra, Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte, Cagayan, Babuyan and Calayan Group of Islands. These provinces are forecast to experience winds of 30-60kph in at least 36 hours.

For the latest PAGASA Warnings and forecasts, please click HERE (PAGASA Website)

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows a much more organized core with convective activity forming around the low-level center. The satellite image also shows some of these convection are starting to reach parts of Central and Southern Luzon. We expect rain showers to spread throughout the region later today as Linfa moves closer to Luzon. Winds and high waves will also increase, especially along the coastal areas.

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) will continue moving slowly to the northwest. It is forecast to clip the northeastern part of Luzon, likely making landfall in Cagayan or Isabela province on Sunday morning. Stormy conditions will persist throughout the region until Sunday evening with rainfall amounts possibly exceeding 100 to 200mm. Strong, damaging, winds will also be felt especially near the storm center.

By early next week, TS Linfa is forecast to turn northward and move towards Taiwan.

Tropical Storm Linfa (Egay) Update #2

Issued (01 UTC) 9am PhT 070315
____________________________

Like our FACEBOOK PAGE for the latest updates on this storm!

Tropical Depression 10W has intensified into Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) this morning. The storm's center of circulation was last located approximately 620km east northeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are now at 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. TS Linfa is currently moving west northwestward at 15kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Isabela and Cagayan. The said provinces are forecast to experience winds of up to 60kph in the next 36 hours.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows convection remaining strong in the immediate vicinity of Linfa's circulation. However, moderate easterly shear is slowing down the intensification trend. Furthermore, much of the convective activity is actually being displaced west of the circulation center due to the said wind shear. This has led to widespread rains moving into parts of the Bicol and Visayas Regions.Some places have already seen rainfall amounts of 30 to 50mm with additional 50 to as much as 100mm possible in the next 24 hours.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Our preliminary forecast track for Tropical Storm Linfa (Egay) shows a continued west northwesterly movement over the next few days. The storm is forecast to move close to the Northern Luzon area by tomorrow and will likely bring widespread rains across the region this weekend. Batanes Islands will also feel the impacts of Linfa as it moves to the area by Sunday and into Monday as a possible Category 1 Typhoon.

The overall track for Linfa (Egay) will hinge on the approaching Tropical Storm Chan-Hom as the latter is forecast to influence the movement of Linfa by early next week. Either way, we advise residents in the region, especially in the Northern Luzon area to continue monitoring the developments for Linfa and should be vigilant in case the storm is forecast to bring direct impacts.

We'll have a separate update for Tropical Storm Chan-Hom later today.