3-Day Forecast (Mar. 29)

Issued (11 UTC) 7pm PhT 032913
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Temperatures continue to soar across the Philippines during this Holy Week. Many areas are reporting their hottest days so far this year and higher temperatures could be felt over the next few days. There is some respite, though, as rain showers are currently impacting Northern Luzon and could also be felt across Visayas and Mindanao.

3-Day Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

A series of fronts will be moving across Eastern China over the next 3 days. These fronts could enhance some precipitation across Northern and Eastern Luzon bringing the threat of scattered light rain showers. Rest of Luzon should have partly cloudy skies with temperatures climbing into the mid-30s during the afternoon. Due to the humidity and intense sun, the heat index (which is the temperature felt by the body) could be well into the upper-30s so please dress appropriately, don't stay out under the sun too long, and make sure to drink plenty of water.

Meanwhile, the easterlies will continue to bring scattered rains and thunderstorms across Visayas and Mindanao. The low pressure area that we've been watching this week--Invest 90W--isn't showing signs of development. However, it could still bring widespread rains across Mindanao early next week.

We'll have our next update on Monday, April 1. Happy Easter!

3-Day Forecast (Mar. 26)

Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 032613
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The Holy Week celebrations in the Philippines started out under hot weather with the occasional thunderstorms. Same theme will continue through the next few days across the country with an increase chance of rain later this week for parts of the south.

IR Image from NOAA

A new disturbance was spotted east of Palau. Invest 90W remains very weak and largely disorganized. Computer models are not being aggressive on this system just yet. However, even if this LPA doesn't develop into a cyclone, it could still bring rains across Mindanao later this week.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Much of the country should expect partly cloudy skies with occasional thunderstorms especially in the afternoon and early evening hours. Some of these rains could bring 30 to 50mm of rain in a short amount of time and could cause minor flooding and even landslides. A developing cold-front will be moving eastward and could enhance some rain showers across Northern and Eastern Luzon in the next two days. We are also watching Invest 90W as it could affect the weather across the southern half of the Philippines later in the week.

We'll have our next update on Friday, March 29.

3-Day Forecast (Mar. 23)

Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 032313
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A rainy weekend is in store for parts of Luzon today as scattered rains and thunderstorms due to the easterlies move in. Some of these cells can bring heavy rainfall in short amount of time leading to potential flooding and even landslides. Meanwhile, the tropical disturbance that we've been watching--Invest 99W--continues to move westward and is now over the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea). This LPA did bring some rains over Visayas and Mindanao but fortunately, it didn't intensify into a strong cyclone (although JMA did briefly consider as a Tropical Depression).

IR Image from NOAA

Right now, scattered are affecting Northern and Southern Luzon including the Bicol Region. Some rains are also moving into parts of Central Luzon and may affect Metro Manila and surrounding areas over the next few hours. Parts of Eastern Visayas and Northern Mindanao could also see some rains tonight.

3-Day Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Rains will linger over Luzon through tomorrow, Sunday, while Visayas and Mindanao will have partly cloudy skies with small chance of rains especially in the afternoon. A frontal system is forecast to move in by Monday likely spawning more rains across the northern half of Luzon by Monday. Rain showers are expected to continue spreading southward into the Bicol Region and parts of Visayas. We also expect another round of showers to affect Mindanao, courtesy of the Easterlies, which could last into the early part of next week. We don't expect any tropical systems to form this week.

We'll have another update on Tuesday, March 26.

3-Day Forecast (Mar. 20)

PAGASA has officially declared that the summer season has arrived in the Philippines. The country should experience a gradual increase in temperature in the coming weeks, along with lack of rainfall. For now, though, we are still watching a couple of weather systems that could affect the weather in the country. The first one is a low pressure area is heading towards Southern Philippines likely bringing some rains in the region. The other system is a stationary front currently over China; this is forecast to move southeastward and could enhance rains over parts of Northern Luzon tomorrow.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Invest 99W is not forecast to develop into a cyclone. However, it could bring scattered rains for Mindanao tomorrow, spreading into Visayas by Friday. This LPA is embedded along the ITCZ which could increase the chance of precipitation across the country this weekend.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Much of the country will have warm weather with partly cloudy skies and occasional chance for rain showers and thunderstorms. Northern Luzon could see some rains tomorrow and on Friday due to the stationary front. Southern Luzon should have partly cloudy weather although chances of rain increase by Friday and Saturday.

The LPA could bring rains across Mindanao tomorrow and could spread into Visayas. The ITCZ is also forecast to enhance rains across the same region beginning Friday.

We'll have another update on March 23, Saturday.

3-Day Forecast (Mar. 17)

Mostly clear skies for the northern half of the Philippines while rain showers are currently impacting Mindanao.

IR Image from NOAA

Easterlies are enhancing rain showers across Mindanao today bringing as much as 50mm in some areas. While not, particularly heavy, the rains are forecast to continue into tomorrow which could then cause some flooding and even landslides. Meanwhile, Invest 99W continues to meander across the Pacific. This disturbance isn't really showing any signs of improvement. It is still not expected to become a cyclone and should remain in that area for the next few days.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

A cold-front will move through on Tuesday which could spawn some light rains across Northern and Eastern Luzon. Rest of the region will have partly cloudy skies with the occasional rains and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Meanwhile, we expect some rains to spread into parts of Visayas by tomorrow; the weather should eventually clear by Tuesday. Likewise, Mindanao should expect to have a rain day tomorrow and could actually continue into Tuesday. Better weather is expected for the region by the middle part of the week.

We'll have another update on Wednesday, March 20.

3-Day Forecast (Mar. 14)

Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 031413
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Much of the country is currently experiencing fine weather although some areas have been impacted by afternoon thunderstorms. One such occurrence happened in Metro Manila where a strong cell of thunderstorm moved through bringing quick-hitting heavy rains with pea-sized hail being reported in Quezon City as well. These thunderstorms are caused by the daytime heating during the afternoon hours. Some of these cells can get strong enough to produce hail but this is fairly common especially as we get into the Summer season.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Speaking of the summer season, we are gradually transitioning into the warmer regime with the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) getting weaker by the day. There is still a cold-front diving down that could bring scattered showers across Northern Luzon. We expect this to be the last major surge of the Amihan this month.

For other parts of the tropics, a weak easterly wave could bring some scattered showers across Visayas and Mindanao tonight and into tomorrow. Farther to the east, a Tropical Disturbance (Invest 99W) was spotted well south of Guam. This LPA is not forecast to become a cyclone as of this time. However, this disturbance will be moving westward and could eventually impact the Philippines by the early part of next week.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Again, we expect some light rains to impact parts of Northern Luzon tomorrow. Parts of Central and Southern Luzon should see fairly clear skies with slight chances of thunderstorms (like what happened in Quezon City today) especially during the afternoon and early evening hours. Visayas and Mindanao, meanwhile, could see some rains tomorrow due to the Easterlies with much greater chance for precipitation by Sunday and Monday.

We'll have another update on Sunday, March 17.

3-Day Forecast (Mar. 11)

Issued (09 UTC) 5pm PhT 031113
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A quiet day, weather-wise, for much of the Philippines today. We expect this generally clear weather to continue for the next few days. The only weather system we are watching is the Easterlies which will continue to promote warm temperatures for much of the country. Cities like Manila and Davao will get into the low and mid 30s (Celsius) during the afternoon hours. This could also increase the chance for some isolated thunderstorms. Farther to the north, some light rains may move in by Wednesday and Thursday due to a cold-front.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

We'll have another update on Thursday, March 14.

3-Day Forecast (Mar. 8)

Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 030813
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Scattered showers are currently affecting parts of Eastern Visayas and Mindanao. Some places are reporting as much as 10mm of rain per hour. These rains are being caused by the easterlies and the northeast monsoon. While not expected to bring very heavy rains, some places could still see minor flooding.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Rains will continue for Visayas and Mindanao through the weekend. There could be as much as 50mm of rain in some areas. Some light rains may also make their way towards Southern Luzon especially the Bicol Region by tomorrow. Parts of Central and Northern Luzon (including Manila) could also see increased chances of precipitation by Sunday and Monday.

We'll have another update on Monday, March 11.

3-Day Forecast (Mar. 5)

Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 030513
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A cold front that moved through two days ago enhanced scattered light rains all across Luzon. Behind this front, a weak surge of the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan) has brought the temperatures down a little bit especially for Northern Luzon. The weather has become mostly quiet once again with only scattered rains being reported in Mindanao.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Quiet weather pattern should at least for another day or so. Another cold-front is diving down and will be enhancing some rains, once again, for parts of Luzon and Eastern Visayas tonight and into tomorrow. Meanwhile, a surface trough embedded along the ITCZ is moving westward and is forecast to bring precipitation into Visayas and Mindanao over the next few days.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

For tomorrow, there is a small chance of rain for parts of Luzon especially along the northern and eastern portions. Visayas will have partly cloudy skies with a chance of an isolated rain shower especially in the afternoon hours. Mindanao may start to get some rains by the evening hours and will only increase by Thursday. We're not expecting huge rain accumulations although it may still cause some flooding. Rains could continue into Friday and could spread into parts of Visayas.

We'll have another update on Friday, March 8.

3-Day Forecast (Mar. 2)

Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 030213
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IR Image from NOAA

A cold-front moving across the Pacific could enhance some light rains across Northern Luzon. Behind the front, a weak surge of the Northeast Monsoon will be felt bringing temperatures down slightly especially in Northern Luzon. Farther to the south, rains associated with the Easterlies could approach and impact parts of Visayas and Mindanao over the next few days.

3-Day Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Much of Luzon will be mostly dry except for parts of Northern and Eastern Luzon where chances of light rains are higher due to the cold-front. Parts of the Bicol Region could also see some light rains over the next few days. For Visayas and Mindanao, we are watching some rain showers moving in from the east. These could impact the region over the next few days. However, the rains are not forecast to be very heavy and should not last for more than a few hours. No Tropical Cyclones in the forecast for this week.

We'll have our next Update on Tuesday, March 5.

3-Day Forecast (Feb. 27)

Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 022713
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Skies are mostly clear today for much of the Philippines and should remain that way to end the month of February.

IR Image from NRLMRY

A cold front will be passing south of Japan today and enhance some light rains over parts of Northern Luzon tomorrow. ITCZ could affect parts of Mindanao this coming weekend. Otherwise, many areas should see mostly clear skies with little chance of rain. No cyclones in the forecast either.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Temperatures will remain seasonable to slightly above average with little chance of rain. Eastern sections of Luzon and Visayas may see some light rains due to the cold-front. The chances of rain will increase this weekend, especially across Mindanao, as the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone makes a return.

We'll have our next update on Saturday, March 2.

3-Day Forecast (Feb. 24)

Issued (09 UTC) 5pm PhT 022413
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Much of the Philippines will have drier weather for a change. Some areas across Northern Luzon and Eastern Visayas may still get light rain showers from time to time but for the most part, we are expecting generally clear skies for much of the country.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

This dry weather is forecast to continue through early next week. Still expect some isolated thunderstorms and rain showers especially during the afternoon and early evening hours. Aside from those, we are not expecting any major rain events.

We'll have another update on Wednesday, February 27.

3-Day Forecast (Feb. 21)

Issued (1130 UTC) 730pm PhT 022113
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Tropical Depression 02W (Bagyong Crising) is now moving away from the Philippines. However, scattered rains will continue for parts of the country over the next few days.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Scattered light to moderate rains continue to affect the Philippines. Areas are still reporting 30 to 50mm of rain which could still cause flooding and exacerbate the problem of moisture soaked soil leading to the possibility of landslides. We are still expecting 50 to even 100mm of rain in some areas over the next 24 hours. However, expect weather conditions to gradually improve.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Luzon will still see some scattered rains tomorrow but the coverage and intensity will decrease as we move into the weekend. Same forecast goes for parts of Visayas although rains will likely return by Sunday. Finally for Mindanao, we may see quieter weather tomorrow but rains are forecast to return by Saturday and Sunday due to the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). Fortunately, we are not expecting the same heavy rain amounts that we've seen with TD Crising.

We'll have another update on Sunday, February 24.

Tropical Update and 3-Day Forecast (Feb. 18)

Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 021813
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A developing low-pressure area, embedded along the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone, will bring widespread rains across the Philippines over the next few days. This same LPA also has the potential to become a cyclone and will be monitored closely.

IR Image from NRLMRY

The LPA, Invest 98W, was last located approximately 500km east southeast of Davao City. The system continues to show improvements with a well-defined low level circulation center as well as an increase in convective activity. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center has upgraded 98W's chances to MEDIUM and could become a weak Tropical Depression over the next two days. However, we expect this system to eventually make landfall in Mindanao by as early as tomorrow which could halt development. Nevertheless, heavy rains will begin to impact Mindanao tomorrow, eventually spreading into Visayas and even into Luzon by Wednesday and Thursday. Aside from the rains, windy conditions and rough seas will impact the South.

2-Day Rainfall Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Rainfall Forecast map above shows where the heaviest rains will fall as well as the potential track for LPA 98W. Landslides and flash floods are possible especially in Northern and Central Mindanao so please coordinate with your local officials for the latest warnings. Eventually, heavy rains could spread into parts of Central and Eastern Visayas bringing the threat of flooding there as well. We are expecting as much as 150 to even 200mm of rain over the next two days in some parts of the country. For the latest rainfall reports and access to Doppler Radar images, please click HERE (ClimateX PH).

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Luzon will have relatively quiet weather tomorrow as all the action will be located in the south. However, the rains will eventually push northward as Invest 98W moves across Mindanao. Rains will eventually impact Central Visayas and then move into Southern and Central Luzon including Metro Manila over the next few days. Some rains could also make their way towards Northern Luzon but the amounts here will be lighter compared to the south.

Our next 3-day Weather Forecast will be on Thursday, February 21; however, we'll have an update tomorrow regarding the progress of Invest 98W.

Tropical Update and 3-Day Forecast (Feb. 15)

Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 021513
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A Low Pressure Area could impact the Philippines early next week. A passing cold-front could also enhance some light rains across Northern Luzon this weekend.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Presently, the easterlies and a weak northeast monsoon are bringing scattered rains across Visayas and parts of Mindanao. While the rains have generally been light, some areas have seen around 30mm in the past 24 hours. Rain will continue to be sporadic and light throughout this region this weekend. For the latest radar images and rainfall forecast, please click HERE

To the north, partly cloudy skies will dominate the weather for tomorrow. A cold-front will be passing tomorrow and could enhance some light rains across Northern Luzon by Sunday and could also impact parts of the Bicol Region and Eastern Visayas by Monday.

Finally, we are watching a low pressure area across the Pacific which could head towards the Philippines by next week. Right now, the potential for development is low. However, as the system heads westward, it could lead to some widespread rains across Mindanao and even into Visayas.

3-Day Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

We'll have another update on Monday, February 18.

3-Day Forecast (Feb. 12)

Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 021213
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IR Image from NOAA

A developing cold-front will be moving across the Pacific over the next two days, giving Japan some light snow in the process. The cold-front could bring some light rain showers across Northern Luzon as well. Behind this front, we expect a fresh but weak shot of cold air courtesy of the Northeast Monsoon (Amihan).

Over to the south, precipitation associated with the Easterlies could affect Visayas and Mindanao from time to time. Rains will be short-lived and should not really amount to anything significant. No tropical cyclones are expected to form over the next few days either.

3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

We'll have another update on Friday, February 15.

3-Day Forecast (Feb. 9)

Issued (09 UTC) 5pm PhT 020913
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Here is our latest 3-Day Weather Forecast for the Philippines (NOT OFFICIAL!):

             
We'll have another update on Tuesday, February 12.

3-Day Forecast (Feb. 6)

Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 020613
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A passing cold-front well to the north will bring a weak surge of Amihan. Easterlies, on the other hand, is enhancing showers affecting areas along the Tropics.

IR Image from NRLMRY

A cold front associated with a system that brought snow across Japan yesterday is now moving across the Northern Pacific. Northerly winds behind this front will likely reach Northern Luzon tomorrow bringing slightly cooler weather. However, the regime of really cold Amihan surges is beginning to end especially as we get deeper into February. Much of Luzon should be dry over the next few days.

The only other weather system affecting the Philippines are the easterly winds. The easterlies are enhancing showers affecting parts of Palau and Micronesia. Some of these rains could also move into Visayas and Mindanao tomorrow. Rain showers will not be very heavy but could still cause some minor flooding.

3-Day Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

We'll have another update on Saturday, February 9.

3-Day Forecast (Feb.3)

Issued (09 UTC) 5pm PhT 020313

The past few days have seen a slight weakening of the Northeast Monsoon leading to relatively warmer temperatures. Much of the country has also seen quieter weather even in the eastern sections.

IR Image from NRLMRY

We expect a return of the cool weather this week as another surge of the Amihan should set in by Tuesday. A cold-front could bring some light rains into Northern Luzon over the next few days. Meanwhile, a tropical wave associated with the easterlies could bring a period of light to moderate rain across parts of Visayas and Mindanao by tomorrow.

3-Day Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

We are forecasting generally clear weather for much of the Philippines with the exception of the southern half of the country. Luzon should see partly cloudy skies with little to no chance of rain. Cooler weather will try to make a comeback following a cold front passage by Tuesday. A weak disturbance could reach Mindanao tomorrow which could bring rains of up to 30mm in some areas which may trigger minor flooding or flash floods.

Except for isolated rains and thunderstorms in the afternoon, the rest of the week is looking rather quiet with no major rain maker in sight. We'll have another update on Wednesday, February 6.

3-Day Forecast (Jan. 31)

Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 013113
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Here is our latest 3-Day Weather Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!):

Much of the country will have generally clear skies tomorrow. There may be some light rains across Northern Luzon and parts of Visayas but nothing too heavy. Rains will return by this weekend especially across Eastern Visayas and parts of Mindanao. Some light rains could also affect Northern Luzon including Baguio City. Temperatures will remain seasonable throughout although may gradually rise over the next few days as the Amihan weakens slightly.

We'll have another update on Sunday, February 3.