Monday, September 22, 2014

Tropical Storm Fung-Wong Update #8 (LANDFALL)

Issued (00 UTC) 8am PhT 092314
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Tropical Storm Fung-Wong has made landfall in Zhejiang Province and is currently moving near Shanghai. The system's center was last located approximately 80km southeast of Shanghai. Maximum sustained winds have gone down to 75kph with gusts of up to 95kph. TS Fung-Wong is moving northward at 20kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY


Latest satellite image shows Fung-Wong becoming more elongated as it interacts with increasing upper-level winds. The core, however, remains intact and strong but is starting to show signs of weakening. Fung-Wong is forecast to become an extra-tropical transition as it moves across the Yellow Sea by tomorrow.

Radar Image from CMA


Latest radar image from China shows light to moderate rains affecting Shanghai. So far,, there have been 50 to 100mm of rainfall over the past 24 hours. We're not expecting any significant amounts in the region but rains will continue for another 12 hours or so. Winds of up to 80kph have also been recorded in and around Shanghai. Breezy conditions will continue but should subside by tonight.

For the latest radar images and weather warnings from China, please click HERE (CMA Website)

Tropical Storm Fung-Wong should start turning eastward and will start exta-tropical transition today. It will move near Jeju Island by tonight and eventually affect South Korea and parts of Japan beginning tomorrow. It should complete extra-tropical transition and become a mid-latitude cyclone by tomorrow.

We'll have another update later tonight.

Sunday, September 21, 2014

Tropical Storm Fung-Wong Update #7

Issued (01 UTC) 9am PhT 092214
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Tropical Storm Fung-Wong (formerly Bagyong Mario) has slightly weakened as it moves across the East China Sea. The system was last located approximately 260km north of Taipei, Taiwan or about 430km south southeast of Shanghai, China. Maximum sustained winds are down to 85kph with gusts of up to 110kph. TS Fung-Wong is moving northward at 20kph.

TS Fung-Wong has left the Philippine Area of Responsibility last night and so all Public Storm Warning Signals in the Philippines have now been lowered. The country should expect generally clear weather, especially across Luzon. There may still be some occasional and isolated thunderstorms, especially in the afternoon, but nothing too significant.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows Fung-Wong moving just east of China. The system is weakening now as it starts to encounter stronger wind shear and cooler sea surface temperatures. There are also some hints that Fung-Wong is beginning to undergo extra-tropical transition and may complete that process by tomorrow.

Radar Image from CMA

 
Latest radar out of Eastern China shows rain bands associated with Fung-Wong affecting the region, particularly the provinces of Zhejiang. Rains in Fujian and Taiwan have pretty much ended this morning. Along with the rains, winds of up to 100kph have been recorded, especially near the coast. Stormy conditions will persist this morning and will move northward towards the Shanghai area later this afternoon.

For the latest radar images and weather warnings for China, please click HERE (CMA Website)

Tropical Storm Fung-Wong will continue tracking northward today and move near Shanghai this afternoon. It will start turning northeastward in response to a mid-latitude trough. It is also forecast to become an extra-tropical cyclone by Tuesday and Wednesday and could bring light rains across portions of Japan.

We'll have another update later today.

Saturday, September 20, 2014

Tropical Storm Fung-Wong (Mario) Update #6

Issued (2230 UTC) 630am PhT 092114
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Tropical Storm Fung-Wong (Bagyong Mario) has slightly overnight as it nears Southern Taiwan. The system was last located approximately 230km northwest of Basco, Batanes or about 420km south southwest of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds are at 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. TS Fung-Wong is moving north northeastward at 15kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Batanes Group of Islands. Signal #1 for Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands, Ilocos Norte.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows more improvements with Fung-Wong's organization. Banding has improve and convective activity remains strong as well. Microwave analysis also reveals a weak eye-feature beginning to form in the circulation center. Winds of up to 80kph are also beginning to be reported across Southern Taiwan. Conditions will go downhill today as Fung-Wong makes landfall later this morning.

Radar Image from CWB

 
Latest radar image from Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau showing Tropical Storm Fung-Wong's eye-like feature moving towards the island. Heavy rains will begin from the south and will spread towards the north later today. There could be as much as 300mm of rain falling in some areas which will cause flooding and landslides. Please heed the warnings of your local officials! For the latest radar images, weather warnings, and forecasts for Taiwan, please click HERE (CWB Website)

Tropical Storm Fung-Wong is forecast to make landfall in Southern Taiwan later this morning. It will track northward across the island and will severely weaken along the way. Heavy rains will linger across Taiwan and may also affect Fujian Province in China. Fung-Wong will emerge into the East China Sea by tomorrow morning and then possibly move towards Eastern China after.

We'll have another update later today.

Tropical Storm Fung-Wong (Mario) Update #5

Issued (1230 UTC) 830pm PhT 092014
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Tropical Storm Fung-Wong (Bagyong Mario) has maintained intensity as it continues to move slowly towards Taiwan. The system was last located approximately 200km west of Basco, Batanes; 280km north northwest of Laoag, Ilocos Norte; or about 480km south southwest of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds are at 85kph with gusts of up to 110kph. TS Fung-Wong is moving northward at 15kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Calayan and Babuyan Islands, Batanes Group of Islands, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte. Signal #1 for Ilocos Sur, Cagayan, Kalinga, and Abra.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows Fung-Wong is developing a large eye-feature with convective bands wrapping around the circulation center. Meanwhile, southwesterly inflow continue to bring rains across parts of Northern Luzon. Furthermore, strong winds of up to 100kph have toppled trees and power lines across Ilocos Sur and Ilocos Norte. Nearby provinces are also experiencing similar stormy conditions.

Fung-Wong will continue moving slowly northward tonight and will make landfall in Southern Taiwan by tomorrow morning. Heavy rains and strong winds will end across Luzon tomorrow and will shift north towards Taiwan. Up to 300mm of rain are possible in Taiwan over the next 24 to 48 hours. Even parts of Eastern China will see stormy conditions tomorrow, especially along the coastal areas of Fujian Province.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

Friday, September 19, 2014

Tropical Storm Fung-Wong (Mario) Update #4

Issued (00 UTC) 8am PhT 092014
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Tropical Storm Fung-Wong (Bagyong Mario) has intensified further this morning as it moves slowly across Luzon Strait. The system was last located approximately 140km north northwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte or about 230km southwest of Basco, Batanes. Maximum sustained winds are now at 85kph with gusts of up to 110kph. TS Fung-Wong is moving northward at 10kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Calayan and Babuyan Islands, Batanes Group of Islands, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte. Signal #1 for Cagayan, Kalinga, Abra, and Ilocos Sur.

IR Image from NRLMRY

 
Latest satellite image shows the structure of Fung-Wong has improved a bit overnight. Banding is more defined and convective activity is starting to wrap around the circulation center. There is still some moderate wind shear which will limit intensification. And while we no longer expect Fung-Wong to reach typhoon status, it will still be a dangerous and strong Tropical Storm as it moves towards Taiwan.

Meanwhile, rains are beginning to subside across Southern Luzon including Metro Manila. However, heavy rains continue to pound Northern Luzon and will continue to do so throughout the day today. We expect up to 200mm to fall in some areas which will cause floods and landslides in the region.

Tropical Storm Fung-Wong will continue moving slowly northward today and will intensify slowly along the way. The system is forecast to make landfall tomorrow morning in Southern Taiwan and will bring torrential rainfall in the region. Parts of Eastern China will also see some stormy weather as the system moves near the region.

We'll have another update later today.