Thursday, December 11, 2014

Tropical Depression Hagupit Update #17 (FINAL)

Issued (04 UTC) 12pm PhT 121214
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Hagupit has now weakened to a Tropical Depression as it moves just east of Vietnam. The system was last located approximately 320km east southeast of Ho Chi Minh. Maximum sustained winds are down to 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD Hagupit is moving south southwestward at 30kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY


Latest satellite image shows convection is waning and the low-level circulation center is becoming more fully exposed. Strong wind shear and dry air are acting upon the system as forecast and will continue causing weakening and eventual dissipation.

Tropical Depression Hagupit will continue moving near the Vietnamese Coast. Residual light to moderate rains will continue to affect the region but should die down in the next 24 to 48 hours. Hagupit should fully dissipate by tomorrow.

This is our final update for Tropical Depression Hagupit. A low pressure area is spotted well east of the Philippines this morning but is not expected to become a Tropical Cyclone in the next few days.

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Tropical Storm Hagupit Update #16

Issued (0430 UTC) 1230pm PhT 121114
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Tropical Storm Hagupit has weakened this morning as it continues to move towards Vietnam. The system was last located approximately 770km northeast of Ho Chi Minh.Maximum sustained winds are down to 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. TS Hagupit is moving westward at 15kph.

IR Image from NOAA


Latest satellite image shows convection has weakened and is confined near the circulation center. Wind shear has increased and dry air from the north is continuing to get entrained into the circulation. Hagupit should continue weakening as it nears the Vietnamese Coast.

Tropical Storm Hagupit will continue moving towards Central/Southern Vietnam. The system could weaken to a Tropical Depression by tonight and make landfall by tomorrow morning in Southern Vietnam. Heavy rains and gusty winds will affect the southern half of the country, including Ho Chi Minh. Hagupit should rapidly weaken and eventually dissipate as it moves over land.

We'll have another update later tonight.

Tuesday, December 9, 2014

Tropical Storm Hagupit (Ruby) Update #15

Issued (03 UTC) 11am PhT 121014
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Tropical Storm Hagupit (Bagyong Ruby) has slightly re-intensified this morning as it continues to move away from the Philippines. The storm center was last located approximately 480km west southwest of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are at 85kph with gusts of up to 110kph. TS Hagupit is moving westward at 20kph.

PAGASA has now dropped all Public Storm Warning Signals in the country.

IR Image from NRLMRY


Tropical Storm Hagupit has re-intensified this morning as it moves into slightly favorable environment over the West Philippine Sea (South China Sea). Thankfully, the system is now moving away from the Philippines. Hagupit left more than a dozen people dead (official death toll is still climbing) and nearly P2 billion ($45 million) in damages to properties and agriculture. While life is returning to normal, thousands of people are still reeling from the effects of the once Super Typhoon, especially in Eastern Samar.

Tropical Storm Hagupit will continue moving westward and should exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility later this afternoon. It will likely maintain its Tropical Storm-strength as it moves into Vietnam by Thursday afternoon. Strong winds and heavy rains will impact the region including the city of Ho Chi Minh.

We'll have another update later tonight.

Monday, December 8, 2014

Tropical Storm Hagupit (Ruby) Update #14

Issued (01 UTC) 9am PhT 120914
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Tropical Storm Hagupit (Bagyong Ruby) continues to weaken as it begins to leave the province of Batangas. The system was last located approximately 40km west of Batangas City or about 90km south southwest of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are down to 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. TS Hagupit is moving westward at 10kph.

PAGASA has downgraded Ruby (Hagupit) into a Tropical Depression this morning and has lowered all Public Storm Warning Signal #2. However, Signal #1 is still in effect for Metro Manila, Bataan, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, and Lubang Island.

IR Image from NRLMRY


Latest satellite image shows convection near the center continuing to weaken. Hagupit moved very slowly across the province of Batangas overnight and took nearly 12 hours for it. Wind reports in the region continue to become less impressive and satellite data reveals continued weakening. Hagupit might be downgraded into a Tropical Depression by both JMA and JTWC tomorrow.

Radar Image from PAGASA


Latest radar image courtesy of DOST-PAGASA shows bands of light to moderate rains continue to affect much of Southern Luzon, Mindoro, and Marinduque. These bands are still capable of producing up to 15mm per hour. Additional rainfall accumulations of up to 100mm are still possible in some areas and we can't rule out further flooding and landslides in some places.

For the latest radar images, please click HERE (Project NOAH)

Tropical Storm Hagupit will continue moving westward today. Stormy conditions will persist across Southern Luzon and Mindoro island through the afternoon hours. Weather conditions will start to improve tonight. Hagupit will also be continuing to weaken and could be downgraded into a Tropical Depression by tomorrow as it moves across the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea).

We'll have another update later today.

Tropical Storm Hagupit (Ruby) Update #13 (VIDEO)

Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 120814
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Hagupit (Bagyong Ruby) has weakened to a Tropical Storm this afternoon and is now moving near Southern Luzon. The storm center was last located approximately 50km northeast of Calapan, Oriental Mindoro, 60km east southeast of Batangas City, or about 120km southeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are down to 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. TS Hagupit is moving west northwestward at 15kph.

IR Image from NOAA


As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has lowered Public Storm Warning Signal #3. However, Signal #2 still remains for: Metro Manila, Batangas, Cavite, Bataan, Laguna, Southern Quezon, Marinduque and Northern Oriental Mindoro including Lubang Island.

Signal #1: Zambales, Pampanga, Tarlac, Bulacan, Rizal, Rest of Quezon, Rest of Mindoro Provinces and Romblon. 

Watch our latest Video Update below for more in-depth discussion about Tropical Storm Hagupit.

 
We'll have another update tomorrow morning.