Issued (2130 UTC) 530am PhT 122616
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Nock-ten (Bagyong Nina) has slightly weakened after making landfall in the island-province of Catanduanes early last night. The core is currently traversing the island of Marinduque with the center being last located approximately 100km east southeast of Batangas City or about 170km southeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds have slightly decreased to 185kph with gusts of up to 230kph. Typhoon Nock-ten is currently moving westward at 20kph.
As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #3 for Camarines Sur, Southern Quezon, Marinduque, Batangas, Northern Oriental Mindoro, Lubang Island, Cavite, and Laguna.
Signal #2 for Metro Manila, Rizal, Northern Quezon, Polilio Island, Bulacan, Bataan, Pampanga, Southern Zambales, Southern Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, Northern Occidental Mindoro, Burias Island, Camarines Norte, and Albay.
Signal #1 for rest of Occidental Mindoro, Ticao Island, rest of Zambales, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija, Southern Aurora, Pangasinan, Sorsogon, and Catanduanes.
IR Image from NOAA
The pinhole eye that was visible yesterday has become cloud filled, indicative of weakening, as Typhoon Nock-ten (Bagyong Nina) traverses the terrain of Southern Luzon and Bicol areas. Nevertheless, the winds near the core are still estimated to be around 160kph or higher; enough to cause significant damage to properties. We should see continued weakening throughout the day due to land interaction but dangerous stormy conditions will still persist for much of the areas along Nock-ten's projected path.
Radar Image from PAGASA
Latest radar image out of Tagaytay station shows the center of Bagyong Nina moving through the island of Marinduque. Rain bands associated with the storm are also affecting large areas in Southern Luzon including Batangas, Laguna, and Quezon; as well as the island of Mindoro. Many areas in Bicol have reported rainfall accumulations of anywhere from 50mm to as much as 150mm. Expect the same rainfall amounts for areas west.
Forecast Track from JMA
Latest forecast track from the Japan Meteorological Agency shows Typhoon Nock-ten moving generally westward. The center of the typhoon should move very close to the city of Batangas in about 3 hours bringing dangerous strong winds, heavy rains, and high waves to the port city. The island of Mindoro will also be heavily impacted later this morning as the center passes just north of the area. The rest of Southern Luzon, including Metro Manila, should still expect tropical storm-force winds of up to 100kph along with occasional bouts of moderate to heavy rains capable of causing urban flooding.
Nock-ten should begin to move into the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) later this evening. Stormy conditions will likely persist across the western portions of Luzon through the evening hours. Most areas impacted by Nock-ten should see gradual improvement in the weather early tomorrow morning.