Friday, July 3, 2015

Tropical Storm Linfa (Egay) Update #3

Issued (0030 UTC) 830am PhT 070415

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Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) has intensified overnight as it continues to move closer to Luzon, Philippines. The storm center was last located approximately 280km east of Casiguran, Aurora or about 430km northeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are now at 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. TS Linfa is moving northwestward at 15kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Isabela, Quirino, and Northern Aurora. These provinces are forecast to get winds of 61-120kph in the next 24 hours.

Signal #1 is in effect for Rest of Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Benguet, Mt. Province, Kalinga, Apayao, Abra, Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte, Cagayan, Babuyan and Calayan Group of Islands. These provinces are forecast to experience winds of 30-60kph in at least 36 hours.

For the latest PAGASA Warnings and forecasts, please click HERE (PAGASA Website)

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows a much more organized core with convective activity forming around the low-level center. The satellite image also shows some of these convection are starting to reach parts of Central and Southern Luzon. We expect rain showers to spread throughout the region later today as Linfa moves closer to Luzon. Winds and high waves will also increase, especially along the coastal areas.

Tropical Storm Linfa (Bagyong Egay) will continue moving slowly to the northwest. It is forecast to clip the northeastern part of Luzon, likely making landfall in Cagayan or Isabela province on Sunday morning. Stormy conditions will persist throughout the region until Sunday evening with rainfall amounts possibly exceeding 100 to 200mm. Strong, damaging, winds will also be felt especially near the storm center.

By early next week, TS Linfa is forecast to turn northward and move towards Taiwan.

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