Friday, July 3, 2015

Tropical Storm Chan-Hom Update #6

Issued (04 UTC) 12pm PhT 070415

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Tropical Storm Chan-Hom is showing signs of re-organization as it moves closer to the Marianas Islands. The storm center was last located approximately 350km southeast of Saipan or about 370km east of Guam. Maximum sustained winds remain at 85kph with gusts of up to 110kph. TS Chan-Hom is moving north northwestward at 15kph.

A Typhoon Watch remains in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and Saipan as per the National Weather Service.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows convective activity has increased once again and this time, it's much closer to the low-level center. The inhibiting factors for intensification that we saw yesterday are also looking less significant and, thus, we should see Chan-Hom continue intensifying, albeit slower than previously forecast.

Tropical Storm Chan-Hom is forecast to turn to the northwest crossing the Marianas sometime tomorrow evening (Sunday). The center of Chan-Hom is forecast to pass near the island of Saipan bringing the possibility of near typhoon-force winds, along with periods of heavy rains. Unsettled weather will dominate the weather for the islands through early next week.

We'll have another update later tonight.

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