Monday, November 11, 2013

Tropical Depression Zoraida Update #3 (LANDFALL)

Issued (0030 UTC) 830am PhT 111213

Tropical Depression Zoraida is beginning to make landfall in Mindanao. The center was last located approximately 100km northeast of Davao City or about 400km southeast of Cebu City. Maximum sustained winds remain at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD Zoraida is moving west northwestward at 30kph.

As of 5am this morning, here is the list of provinces under Public Storm Warning Signal #1 issued by PAGASA:

Cuyo Island, Northern Palawan, The Calamian Group, Siquijor, Southern Cebu, Bohol, Negros Oriental, Negros Occidental, Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Dinagat Province, Siargao Island, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Davao Oriental, Compostela Valley, Davao del Norte, Samal Island, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Lanao del Sur, North Cotabato, Camiguin Island, Northern Zamboanga del Norte, and Zamboanga del Sur.

The provinces above will continue to have cloudy skies with breezy winds of up to 60kph along with scattered light to moderate rains.

IR Image from NOAA

Latest satellite image shows convection associated with Tropical Depression Zoraida is overspreading into much of Mindanao bringing scattered rains in the region. The center of Zoraida is currently making landfall in the province of Davao Oriental. The system, overall, remains very weak which is a good thing because the Philippines really don't need another storm.

Radar Image from Cebu

Latest radar image from Cebu shows light to moderate rains with pockets of heavy rains moving across Visayas. Islands of Negros, Cebu, Bohol, and Leyte will continue to have on and off rains through tonight. Provinces in Mindanao such as Davao, Compostela Valley, Bukidnon, and Cotabato are also reporting moderate rains this morning. Overall, we're expecting 50 to 80mm of rainfall which could cause some flooding and landslides but hopefully nothing catastrophic. For the latest radar images and rainfall forecast, please click HERE (PROJECT NOAH)

Tropical Depression Zoraida will continue moving quickly to the west and will emerge into the Sulu Sea later tonight. Rains across Visayas should also begin to weaken later today and will move westward into Zamboanga Peninsula and Palawan. Zoraida might slightly intensify as it moves into the Sulu Sea. It will, then, exit into the West Philippine Sea (South China Sea) by tomorrow evening (Wednesday).

We'll have another update later today.

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