Monday, November 11, 2013

Tropical Depression Zoraida Update #2

Issued (1330 UTC) 930pm PhT 111113

Tropical Depression Zoraida is nearing Mindanao and could bring rains in the region beginning tonight. The center was last located approximately 380km east of Davao City or about 500km southeast of Surigao City. Maximum sustained winds remain at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD Zoraida is currently moving west northwestward at 30kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Siquijor, Southern Cebu, Bohol, Negros Oriental, Negros Occidental, Southern Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Dinagat Island, Siargao Island, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Davao Oriental, Compostela Valley, Davao del Norte, Samal Island, Bukidnon, Misamis Oriental, and Camiguin Island.

These provinces will experience gusty winds of up to 60kph in the next 36 hours. Widespread rains should also be expected.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows convection has increased near the elongated low-level center. We haven't seen much improvements in the core, however, despite the increase in cloud cover that is why Zoraida remains at Tropical Depression. However, that doesn't mean this system will not pose any danger to the Philippines.

The increase in clouds also means that moderate to heavy rains will be more widespread as Zoraida nears the coast of Mindanao. We are expecting the center to make landfall in Surigao Del Sur later this evening or perhaps early at dawn tomorrow (Tuesday). Widespread moderate to heavy rains should be expected across much of Mindanao over the next 12 hours. There is a big risk for flash floods and landslides so if you live near the coast, rivers, and mountains, please consult your local officials for possible evacuations!

Rains will then spread into Visayas by tomorrow and will affect Bohol, Cebu, Negros, and nearby islands.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning. Stay safe!

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