Thursday, November 19, 2015

Typhoon In-Fa Update #3

Issued (03 UTC) 11am PhT 112015

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In-Fa has rapidly intensified overnight and is now a Category 2 Typhoon. The center of Typhoon In-Fa was last located approximately 520km southeast of Guam. Maximum sustained winds are now at 165kph with gusts of up to 205kph. Typhoon In-Fa is currently moving west northwestward at 15kph.

In anticipation of the oncoming typhoon, the National Weather Service has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Guam. The NWS is warning for possible strong winds of up to 100kph affecting the region within the next 24 hours.

For the latest warnings from NWS, please click HERE

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows a central dense overcast has developed with a pinhole eye in the center. Strong convection continues to expand as well, being aided by excellent radial outflow and weak wind shear. In-Fa will continue to intensify and may become a Category 3 Typhoon by tomorrow.

Forecast Track from the NWS

The latest OFFICIAL Forecast Track from the National Weather Service in Guam shows Typhoon In-Fa tracking generally west northwestward over the next few days. The eye of In-Fa is forecast to pass within 300km to the south of Guam by Saturday morning. While the center will be passing far from Guam, tropical storm-force winds of up to 100kph are still possible across Guam and nearby islands. Showery precipitation and high waves are also forecast to dominate the weather in the region.

Typhoon In-Fa is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Sunday evening and will be given the local name 'Bagyong Marilyn.' However, we are not expecting In-Fa to directly impact the Philippines. It is forecast to eventually recurve to the north by Tuesday away from any land areas.

We'll have another update later this evening.

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