Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Tropical Storm In-Fa Update #2

Issued (04 UTC) 12pm PhT 111815

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Tropical Depression 27W has intensified into Tropical Storm In-Fa and continues to quickly consolidate as it moves across the Western Pacific. The storm center was last located approximately 240km southwest of Pohnpei. Maximum sustained winds are now at 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. TS In-Fa is currently moving west northwestward at 25kph.

The National Weather Service has now issued several Typhoon Warnings and Watches across the numerous islands and atolls across the Caroline Islands, particularly in Chuuk. Typhoon-force winds of more than 120kph (74mph) are possible in some locations. 

For the latest official warnings and forecasts, please head to the NWS Website by clicking HERE

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows a much improved cyclone with tightly-curved convective banding wrapping around the circulation. An eye-feature is also beginning to form which is a sign of further intensification. TS In-Fa is located in a highly conducive environment with excellent radial outflow, warm sea temperatures, and light wind shear. We expect continued intensification in the coming days.

Tropical Storm In-Fa is forecast to continue moving generally west northwestward and may move near Chuuk by tomorrow morning as a Category 1 Typhoon. Medium-range forecasts and consensus among the computer models suggest a potential path towards Guam and the Marianas Islands. Right now, it's still uncertain how close In-Fa will get to Guam but expect stormy conditions to still impact the region in one way or another this weekend.

Residents in the region are advised to heed the official warnings and forecasts of their local government. Stay safe!

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