Saturday, May 9, 2015

Typhoon Noul (Dodong) Update #6

Issued (1230 UTC) 830pm PhT 050915

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Typhoon Noul (Bagyong Dodong) has intensified this afternoon as it moves closer to the island of Luzon. The eye of Noul was last located approximately 270km east southeast of Casiguran, Aurora or about 390km east northeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are now up to 195kph with gusts of up to 230kph making Noul a Category 3 Typhoon. Noul is currently moving northwestward at 20kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #3 for Cagayan, Isabela, and Northern Aurora. Signal #2 for Calayan and Babuyan Groups of Islands, Apayao, Kalinga, Mt. Province, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Rest of Aurora, Polilio Island, Catanduanes, and Quirino. Signal #1 for Batanes, Abra, Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte, Benguet, Nueva Ecija, Quezon, Camarines Norte, and Camarines Sur.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows a pinhole eye has formed surrounded by strong and deep convective activity. Noul has been able to intensify as wind shear has weakened and upper-level patterns has led to the typhoon developing excellent radial outflow. Slight intensification is possible through the evening hours before it makes landfall in Cagayan tomorrow morning.

Radar Image from Baler (PAGASA)

Latest radar image out of Baler, Aurora shows outer rain bands from Typhoon Noul are now making their way towards the coast of Northern Luzon. Provinces of Isabela, Aurora, Quirino, and Quezon are starting to see light rains. We expect these rain bands to continue spreading northward eventually reaching Cagayan and nearby provinces. Rainfall amounts of up to 300mm are possible especially in mountainous areas. Landslides and flashfloods are possible especially in usually threatened areas. Please consult with your local officials for the latest warnings and advisories for your area.

For the latest radar images and forecasts from PAGASA, please click HERE (PROJECT NOAH)

Typhoon Noul (Bagyong Dodong) will continue moving northwestward and will eventually make landfall in the province of Cagayan. However, strong typhoon winds may still be felt as far as the province of Isabela. Furthermore, heavy rains will spread across Northern Luzon and will linger through the afternoon hours. Noul will exit early but will still impact the islands of Babuyan before moving northeastward towards the Japanese Islands.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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