Friday, May 8, 2015

Tropical Depression 07W Update #3

Issued (03 UTC) 11am PhT 050915

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Tropical Depression 07W continues to consolidate as it moves near the Caroline Islands. The system's center of circulation was last located approximately 100km southwest of Kosrae or about 500km southeast of Pohnpei. Maximum sustained winds remain at 55kph with gusts of up to 75kph. TD 07W is currently moving north northwestward at 10kph.

The National Weather Service (Guam) has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Kosrea and Pohnpei. Residents are advised to complete preparations for tropical storm conditions with winds of 34 to 73mph (65-120kph). Please consult with your local officials for the latest warnings in your area.

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IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows convective activity has become more robust and more consolidate around the low-level center. Wind shear is weakening and upper-level patterns are becoming more conducive for further development. TD 07W should continue intensifying and should be upgraded to a Tropical Storm by the JMA (JTWC already did today) later tonight.

Tropical Depression 07W is now turning northwest under the subtropical ridge. 07W should also continue intensifying and could still become a strong typhoon by early next week. Impacts across Guam and the Mariana Islands are still possible, especially with the threat of rain showers and high surf. Please keep on monitoring the progress of this developing system in the coming days.

We'll have a separate update on Typhoon Noul (Bagyong Dodong) as it moves closer to the Philippine Islands.

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