Friday, May 8, 2015

Typhoon Noul (Dodong) Update #5

Issued (12 UTC) 8pm PhT 050815

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Typhoon Noul (Bagyong Dodong) has maintained its intensity as it moves closer to the Philippine Islands. The eye of Noul was last located approximately 400 east northeast of Catarman, Northern Samar or about 440km east southeast of Virac, Catanduanes. Maximum sustained winds remain at 165kph with gusts of up to 205kph. Typhoon Noul is moving west northwestward at 20kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has placed the province of Catanduanes under Public Storm Warning Signal #2. Meanwhile, Signal #1 is in effect for Sorsogon, Albay, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Quezon, Polilio Island, Aurora, Quirino, Isabela, Northern Samar, and Eastern Samar.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the central dense overcast remaining strong and and organized. Noul struggled to intensify due to the presence of dry air and a slight increase in wind shear. However, the system looks like it is recovering and could intensify a little bit more in the next 24 to 36 hours before it makes landfall in Luzon.

The image above also shows the potential track Noul may take. Please note THIS IS NOT OFFICIAL! However, the current track is supported by numerous computer model outputs, as well as tracks from different weather agencies in the region.

Typhoon Noul will continue moving west northwestward, passing near the island of Catanduanes tomorrow morning (Saturday). It will continue its trek, intensifying along the way and possibly becoming a Category 3 typhoon. By Sunday morning, Noul is forecast to make landfall either in the province of Isabela or in Cagayan. Strong winds, heavy rains, and high waves should be expected along the eastern coast of Luzon, especially in the northern provinces. 

If you live along the areas in Northern Luzon forecast to be hit by Noul, please start your preparations now. Always consult with your local officials for the latest warnings and orders specific to your area. Stay safe!

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