Thursday, March 26, 2015

Tropical Depression 04W Update #1

Issued (04 UTC) 12pm PhT 032715

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A new Tropical Cyclone has formed in the Western Pacific this morning. Tropical Depression 04W was last located approximately 60km west southwest of Pohnpei in the Caroline Islands. Maximum sustained winds are at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD 04W is currently moving westward at 15kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows Tropical Depression 04W in its early stages of development. Convective activity has been increasing, especially near the center of circulation. The island of Pohnpei is currently reporting winds of up to 30kph along with light rain showers. We expect the conditions in the island to improve as TD 04W moves away in the next 12 hours.

Tropical Depression 04W will continue moving generally westward over the next few days. The system is expected to steadily intensify as the environmental conditions in the region should be conducive for further development. The system might even become a Typhoon in the next 3 days. However, it is still too early to tell whether TD 04W will eventually impact the Philippines.

We'll continue monitoring the progress of this Tropical Depression and will update by tomorrow.

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