Issued (05 UTC) 1pm PhT 011115
The disturbance that we've been watching for the past few days remains largely disorganized as it moves across the Western Pacific. Invest 92W is located near the islands of Chuuk in Micronesia. The low-level circulation center is still elongated but convective activity has increased in the past 24 hours.
IR Image from NOAA
Computer models are still showing possible development in this area. It may be delayed due to strong wind shear and the presence of dry air immediately to the north. Based on the latest conditions, the disturbance will continue moving generally west northwestward and may develop into a Tropical Cyclone in 3 to 5 days.
We'll continue to keep you posted regarding the progress of this disturbance.