Issued (04 UTC) 12pm PhT 010715
We hope everyone had a wonderful New Year!
While the Western Pacific is currently free from tropical cyclones, we are watching a disturbance which could eventually develop into a storm.
IR Image from NRLMRY
Invest 91W is located deep in the tropics, near the Caroline Islands, and has shown signs of consolidation in the past 24 hours. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has given this LPA a "MEDIUM" chance of development. Computer model are also showing a cyclone development in the next 3 days.
Right now, it is still too early to tell where the system will head to, if it does actually develop. But based on the current conditions in the region, we expect Invest 91W to continue moving generally west northwestward and could affect the Mariana Islands in the next few days.
We'll continue watching this disturbance and will publish an update if necessary.