Thursday, October 2, 2014

Tropical Depression 19W Update #1 (w/ VIDEO)

Issued (0130 UTC) 930am PhT 100314

Watch our latest Video Update for in-depth analysis and forecast for both Typhoon Phanfone and Tropical Depression 19W.

A new Tropical Cyclone has formed near the Caroline Islands this morning. Tropical Depression 19W was last located approximately 170km northeast of Pohnpei. Maximum sustained winds are at 55kph with gusts of up to 75kph. TD 19W is moving west northwestward at 20kph.

VIS Image from NRLMRY

Latest visible satellite imagery showing TD 19W in its early stages of development. However, strong convective activity and tight banding are already occurring as the system takes advantage of the favorable conditions in the region. Continued intensification is likely over the next few days.

Tropical Depression 19W will continue moving generally west northwestward and could become a Tropical Storm by tomorrow. It could even reach typhoon strength by Sunday and Monday. TD 19W could also move near Saipan and the Mariana Islands around that time frame with strong winds and heavy rains affecting the region including Guam.

We'll have another update tomorrow.

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