Tropical Storm Neoguri continues to intensify as it moves across the Western Pacific. The system was last located approximately 450km west of Guam. Maximum sustained winds are now at 100kph with gusts of up to 130kph. TS Neoguri is moving northwestward at 20kph.
IR Image from NRLMRY
Latest satellite image shows Neoguri continuing to organize and consolidate. A rugged eye is starting to form surrounded by strong and deep convective activity. Excellent outflow, weak wind shear, and very warm sea temperatures are leading to the intensification that we are seeing right now. We expect Neoguri to continue strengthening over the next few days.
Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)
Tropical Storm Neoguri should easily reach Category 3 intensity or higher. In fact, some computer models are suggesting that it may Super Typhoon strength. By Monday and Tuesday, we expect the system to start turning more to the north and will approach Okinawa and the rest of the Ryukyu Islands by this time. We will continue to tweak our forecast as we get more confidence with the exact track of this cyclone.
We'll have another update tomorrow morning. Continue to monitor the developments of Neoguri and always listen to your country's local meteorological office. Stay safe!