Friday, July 4, 2014

Typhoon Neoguri Update #4

Issued (22 UTC) 6am PhT 070514

Neoguri has intensified into a Category 1 Typhoon earlier this morning. The system continues to move across the warm waters of the Western Pacific and was last located approximately 580km north of Yap or about 680km west northwest of Guam. Maximum sustained winds are at 120kph with gusts of up to 150kph. Typhoon Neoguri is currently moving northwestward at 25kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the increasing cloud cover associated with Neoguri. The eye is still not clear but it is starting to become more distinguishable on satellite. Excellent radial outflow can also be seen on the image along with the massive convective bands that extend well south of the system.

Typhoon Neoguri is forecast to continue moving northwestward and should continue intensifying as well. It will enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility later tonight and will be given the local name 'Bagyong Florita' by PAGASA. Neoguri won't directly impact the Philippines. However, it will enhance the Southwest Monsoon which will bring scattered rains across the country over the next few days.

JTWC is forecasting Neoguri to become a Super Typhoon by early Tuesday morning. Because of the favorable condition along the path of this system, we won't be surprised if that forecast comes to fruition. We are also getting more confident that Okinawa and the rest of the Ryukyu Islands will be impacted by this typhoon beginning Tuesday and lasting into Wednesday. If you live in one of these Japanese Islands, please start preparing now. As always, listen to the forecasts of your official weather agency (JMA).

We'll have another update later today.

No comments:

Post a Comment