Thursday, April 3, 2014

Tropical Depression 05W Update #2

Issued (12 UTC) 8pm PhT 040314

Tropical Depression 05W has slightly intensified this afternoon as it continues to move westward across the Pacific. The system was last located approximately 1,400km east southeast of Palau. Maximum sustained winds are up to 55kph with gusts of up to 75kph. TD 05W is moving westward at 15kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows convective activity increasing and becoming more consolidated near the center. Overall outflow remains really good as well and combined with the weak wind shear and warm sea temperatures promote favorable conditions for continued intensification.

TD 05W will continue moving westward and could become a Tropical Storm by tomorrow. By Saturday, the system is expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility and move near the island of Palau. Some computer models also show TD 05W becoming a typhoon by Sunday or Monday as it nears the Philippine Islands.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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