Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Tropical Storm Krosa (Vinta) Update #4

Issued (11 UTC) 7am PhT 103013

Tropical Storm Krosa (Bagyong Vinta) continues to intensify as it moves across the Philippine Sea. The storm center was last located approximately 590km east of Tuguegarao City or about 740km northeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are now at 95kph with gusts of up to 120kph. TS Krosa is moving west northwestward at 25kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Cagayan, Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands, Isabela, Kalinga, Apayao, and Cagayan. Signal #1 is up for Ilocos Norte, Mt. Province, Abra, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Benguet, Ifugao, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Aurora, Pangasinan, Nueva Ecija, and Batanes Group of Islands.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image continue to show improvements with the Central Dense Overcast. Strong convection continue to bloom and is becoming more organized around the storm center. Further microwave analysis suggest that an eyewall is starting to form. We might see Krosa become a Typhoon before it makes landfall tomorrow.

Tropical Storm Krosa/Vinta will continue moving west northwestward, intensifying in the next 12 hours. A typhoon is possible before it makes landfall in Cagayan tomorrow afternoon. Strong winds of up to 120kph, along with high waves, and heavy rains are possible along the path of the storm. Much of Northern Luzon will experience stormy conditions beginning tomorrow and will last through Friday. We urge everyone along the path of Krosa/Vinta to continue monitoring and prepare now if you can!

We'll have another update tomorrow; stay safe!

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