Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Typhoon Pabuk Update #5

Issued (1230 UTC) 830pm PhT 092413

Typhoon Pabuk continues to consolidate as it moves across the Pacific. The eye of Pabuk was last located approximately 350km northwest of Iwo To or about 980km south southwest of Tokyo. Maximum sustained winds have slightly increased to 130kph with gusts of up to 165kph. Pabuk is moving northwestward at 10kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the eye of Pabuk continues to improve by the hour with good convection and an eyewall that continues to intensify. Outflow also remains strong and that is offsetting the effects of the cooler sea surface temperatures.

Typhoon Pabuk is forecast to begin turning northeastward by tomorrow in response to an approaching mid-latitude trough. Pabuk should also reach its peak by tomorrow morning before it starts to weaken slightly due to the cooler sea temperatures near Japan. The northeastward track should keep Pabuk away from Mainland Japan although it could still bring high waves along the coast in Honshu.

We'll have another update later today.

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