Tuesday, July 9, 2013

Typhoon Soulik Update #5

Issued (2230 UTC) 630am PhT 071013

Soulik continues to rapidly intensify and is now a Category 4 Typhoon. The system was last located approximately 1,050km east southeast of Okinawa and continues to move west northwestward across the Philippine Sea. Maximum sustained winds are now up to 215kph with gusts of up to 260kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the system has developed a wide 30-nm eye that is surrounded by a ring of strong convection. Typhoon Soulik remains very symmetrical with good radial outflow and a well-developed eyewall. The system continues to benefit from the favorable conditions that persist in the Philippine Sea. Remember that the system was a weak Tropical Storm less than 48 hours ago!

Typhoon Soulik will continue intensifying today as it moves on a west northwesterly course. A peak intensity of just under Category 5 intensity is forecast to be reached early tomorrow morning before the system starts to weaken slowly.

There hasn't really been any significant changes in the forecast last night. We still think The southern Japanese Islands of Yaeyema and Miyako Islands and even Taiwan are under serious threat from this typhoon. Even Okinawa could some stormy conditions beginning tomorrow (Thursday) and lasting into Friday. If you live anywhere in the areas that were mentioned, please closely monitor the developments of this system and if possible, start preparing now by stocking up on food and water.

We'll continue to have updates on this system throughout today.

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