Thursday, July 11, 2013

Typhoon Soulik (Huaning) Update #9

Issued (00 UTC) 8am PhT 071213

Typhoon Soulik (Bagyong Huaning) is now beginning to impact the Southern Japanese Islands. The system was last located approximately 270km southeast of Ishigaki Island or about 530km southeast of Taipei. Maximum sustained winds are at 175kph with gusts of up to 215kph making Soulik a Category 2 Typhoon on the Saffir-Simpson Scale. Soulik is moving westward at 20kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA is keeping the Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Batanes Group of Islands. Meanwhile, Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau has begun to issue Rainfall Warnings and Typhoon Warnings for the island.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the core of Soulik becoming somewhat better this morning. The core has tightened again and convective activity near the center has increased slightly as well. We are keeping the system under Category 2, however, because of the lack of a clear eyewall. It seems that the system is having trouble completing the Eyewall Replacement Cycle.

Radar Image from JMA

Latest radar out of Miyakojima/Yaeyeama Area shows the rains associated with Soulik's outer eyewall continue to move wesward. Rains of up to 10mm/hour will be accompanied by strong, gusty winds that could reach up to 100kph. Conditions will only deteriorate as the day goes by. For the latest radar images, click HERE (JMA Website)

Typhoon Soulik will continue moving westward today and then take a turn slightly to the northwest by this afternoon. Typhoon conditions are possible for Miyakojima, Ishigaki, and Yaeyema later this afternoon. As for Taiwan, expect strong winds and light rain to begin impacting the area by later this afternoon with the worst conditions forecast to occur between tonight and early tomorrow morning (Saturday). Typhoon-force winds of up to 180kph and rainfall accumulations of up to 300mm are possible especially in Northern Taiwan.

We'll continue to monitor the developments of this system as the day goes on. As always, don't forget to consult your local officials and your nation's weather bureau for the latest warnings and forecasts for your area. Stay safe!

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