Saturday, June 8, 2013

Tropical Storm Yagi (Dante) Update #2

Issued (14 UTC) 10pm PhT 060813

Tropical Depression 03W has intensified and has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Yagi. TS Yagi, or Bagyong Dante as classified by PAGASA, continues to consolidate east of Luzon. The storm was last located approximately 850km east northeast of Casiguran, Aurora. Maximum sustained winds are now at 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. TS Yagi is moving northward at 10kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows cold cloud tops forming around the circulation center. There is some dry air to the northwest of Yagi but as of right now, we don't think it'll hinder development. Inflow feeding into the circulation continues to bring rains across large parts of the Philippines, especially in Luzon where showers and thunderstorms have formed over the past 6 hours. Some areas here could receive as much as 25mm of rain in just one hour raising the risk for flooding and landslides.

Tropical Storm Yagi will continue to move northward over the next few days. It will start to interact with a weak frontal boundary coming out of Eastern China. Marginally-favorable atmospheric conditions are expected to allow the system to continue strengthening and reach moderate tropical storm strength. Model consensus also points to a track that could put Yagi towards Japan by early next week.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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