Friday, June 7, 2013

Tropical Depression 98W (Dante) Update #1

Issued 00 UTC (8am PhT) 060813

A new tropical depression has formed in the Western Pacific. The low pressure area that we've been watching for the past few days have strengthened into a Tropical Depression. Being inside the Philippine Area of Responsibility, PAGASA has given this system a local name of Bagyong Dante. Tropical Depression 98W (Dante) was last located approximately 780km east northeast of Casiguran, Aurora. Maximum sustained winds are at 45kph with gusts of up to 60kph. The system is currently moving northward at 20kph.

There are no Public Storm Warning Signals issued by PAGASA.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows a system that continues to consolidate with cold cloud tops emanating near the circulation center. Converging winds are also enhancing rain showers and thunderstorms east of the system as well on the southwestern portions. While not directly affecting the Philippines, southwesterly flow feeding into the circulation is bringing some light to moderate rains across parts of Visayas and Mindanao. Continued rains could cause flooding and landslides and in many areas in the said regions.

As for the tropical depression, marginally favorable atmospheric conditions should allow continued development for at least another 24 to 48 hours. Most computer models are still showing TD 98W becoming a moderate Tropical Storm. Model consensus also shows a more northerly track eventually moving away from the Philippines but will possibly head towards Japan early next week.

We'll have more updates with this system later today.

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