Monday, June 17, 2013

Tropical Depression 91W (Emong) Update #2

Issued (1130 UTC) 730pm PhT 061713

Tropical Depression 91W (Emong) remains weak as it moves across the waters just east of the Philippines. The system was last located approximately 310km east northeast of Virac, Catanduanes or about 620km east of Manila. Maximum sustained winds remain at 45kph with gusts of up to 65kph. TD 91W is moving northward at 10kph.

As of 5pm this morning, PAGASA has not issued any Public Storm Warning Signals.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows very little improvement with regards to TD 91W. Convective activity, while improved from yesterday, is still sparse. Nevertheless, 91W continues to show good poleward outflow; it is also sitting in an area of low to moderate wind shear and warm seas. The system is still expected to slowly intensify over the next 2 days.

But while 91W/Emong isn't close to land, it is enhancing some rains across parts of the Philippines. Right now, a strong cluster of rains have formed and is currently impacting large parts of Luzon. Many areas are currently reporting as much as 10 to 20mm of rain per hour! It is possible that some stations, including in Metro Manila, could receive as much as 50 to 75mm of rain overnight increasing the likelihood of flash floods and landslides. If you are in low-lying areas, always coordinate with your local officials! For the latest information on rain reports and doppler radar data, please click HERE (ClimateX PH Website).

As for TD 91W/Emong, the system is forecast to continue moving northward and is not expected to make landfall in the Philippines. Computer models are showing the system moving near the Miyako and Ryukyu Islands later in the week.

We'll have another update tomorrow.

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