Saturday, January 12, 2013

Tropical Depression Bising Update #1

Here is our latest Video update

Text Update

Tropical Depression Bising continues to move just east of Luzon. The system was last located approximately 280km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes. Maximum winds are between 40 and 60kph. TD Bising is moving north northwestward at 25kph.

PAGASA has dropped all Public Storm Warning Signals across the Philippines.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the system struggling to consolidate. There is very little convection near the center and much of the rainclouds are located east of the center and are not significantly impacting Luzon.

2-Day Rainfall Forecast (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Rains from TD Bising should stay offshore although some showers may still impact Eastern Luzon and the Bicol Region over the next two days. While some cities have seen nearly 200mm of rain since yesterday, the intensity and the coverage of these rains should decrease and much of the country should see better weather beginning tomorrow. Our forecast above expects about 50mm on the eastern parts of the country with the heaviest rains located across the provinces of Cagayan, Isabela, and Aurora.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Tropical Depression Bising will continue moving generally northward tonight. It will then pass roughly 300km east of Isabela tomorrow and could bring some light rains in the region. TD Bising is also forecast to begin turning northeastward tomorrow eventually avoiding Luzon. By Monday, the system is forecast to begin transitioning into an extra-tropical cyclone as a mid-latitude trough, currently moving across China, picks up and absorb the system.

We'll have another update tomorrow.

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