Friday, December 21, 2012

Tropical Update

Invest 93W is looking less likely to develop as it remains disorganized over the Pacific. Meanwhile, the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone is enhancing some showers across the Tropics today.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Invest 93W remains largely disorganized as it moves well south of Guam. Low-level center is very poor and despite the convective activity persisting for quite a while, the system isn't really exhibiting any substantial improvement. In fact, JTWC is no longer expecting a development out of 93W.

Despite the lack of improvements today, some computer models are still showing some strengthening over the next few days. Invest 93W still has about 3 days over water before moving into the Philippines so the possibility of this disturbance become a cyclone is still there. Either way, the threat of some widespread rains as we move into Monday and Tuesday exists.
Issued (08 UTC) 4pm PhT 122212

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