Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Tropical Storm Son-Tinh (Ofel) Update #3

Tropical Depression 24W has intensified into a Tropical Storm earning the international name of Son-Tinh. Tropical Storm Son-Tinh (local name of Bagyong Ofel) was last located approximately 180km east southeast of Surigao City. Maximum sustained winds are now at 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. TS Son-Tinh is moving northwestward at 15kph.

As of 5am this morning, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Southern Leyte, Dinagat Island, Surigao Provinces, Agusan Del Norte, Northern Agusan Del Sur, and Camiguin Island. Signal #1 for Samar Provinces, Leyte, Biliran Island, Bohol, Cebu, Camotes Island, Negros Provinces, Siquijor, Rest of Agusan Del Sur, Northern Bukidnon, and Misamis Oriental. Provinces under Signal #2 should expect winds of up to 100kph to occur within the next 24 hours. Areas under Signal #1 should expect winds of up to 60kph to occur within the next 48 hours. All areas should also expect widespread heavy rains in the next 2 days or so.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows an improving system with more convective activity and overall banding. The center of circulation is also consolidating more and the favorable conditions in the region will lead to further intensification in the next 24 hours. Land interaction with the islands of Mindanao and Visayas may limit weakening but we are expecting Son-Tinh to at least maintain its present Tropical-Storm strength as it moves across the Philippines.

Areas under Signal Warnings should continue monitoring the developments of this storm. Please coordinate with your local officials for any possible evacuation orders or other warnings pertinent to your location. Winds and heavy rains are possible today across major parts of Northern Mindanao and Eastern Visayas. Rainfall amounts of up to 150mm are possible which could trigger flashfloods and landslides. Furthermore, fishermen are advised not to go out to sea as waters will be very rough in the next few days.

We'll have another update on this Tropical Storm later this afternoon.
Issued (2330 UTC) 730am PhT 102412

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