Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Tropical Storm Damrey Update #7

Tropical Storm Damrey has maintained its strength as it starts to move away from the Kyushu Region. It was last located approximately 140km south southwest of Kagoshima or about 70km west of the small island of Yaku-shima. Maximum sustained winds are still at 110kph with gusts of up to 140kph. TS Damrey is currently moving west northwestward at 35kph.

Radar from JMA

Latest radar image from Japan shows the center of circulation starting to move away from the region. Light to moderate rains, however, continue to fall across the area as the bands on the eastern periphery of Damrey moves through. Rains here range from 50 to 80mm and as much as 50mm could fall in the next 6 hours. Thankfully, Damrey is a quick moving storm and should be out of the area later tonight. Kyushu and the nearby islands should expect improving conditions tomorrow morning. For more radar images and warnings from Japan, please click HERE (JMA Website)

IR Image from NRLMRY

Damrey has managed to improve its structure taking advantage of the warm Kuroshio Current. JTWC has, in fact, upgraded the system to a Typhoon while JMA (and us) hold Damrey as a strong Tropical Storm. Wind reports in Kyushu and the islands of Yaku-shima and Tanegashima range from 60 to 80kph sustained. Some stations reported gusts of up to 130kph which is typhoon-force. Winds should begin to die down tonight in this area.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Tropical Storm Damrey is forecas to make landfall along the eastern coast of Jiangsu Province in Eastern China, about 200km north of Shanghai as a strong Tropical Storm. While we no longer expect intensification, waters across the Eastern China Sea are still favorable for intensification and the JTWC still expects the system to do so. For now, we are holding Damrey as a Tropical Storm but a small chance exists that it could be a typhoon by the time it makes landfall tomorrow afternoon (Thursday). Damrey is expected to rapidly dissipate as it moves across China.

We'll have another update tomorrow.
Issued (0930 UTC) 530pm PhT 080112

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