Monday, July 30, 2012

Tropical Storm Damrey Update #4

Tropical Storm Damrey is starting to organize a little more as it accelerates across the Pacific. The system was last located approximately 380km north northwest of Iwo To or about 600km south of the island of Honshu in Japan. Maximum sustained winds remain at 75kph with gusts of up to 110kph. TS Damrey is now moving to the west northwest at a speed of 30kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite images show the system becoming better organized with convection wrapping nicely around the storm's core. However, much of the convective activity is still weak with warm cloud top temperatures. Further analysis also show the winds remaining at around 70 to 90kph with JMA having the higher wind estimates at 95kph on their last advisory. Chichijima in the Ogasawara Islands only recorded sustained winds of around 35kph with gusts of up to 85kph and a minimum pressure of 986mb as Damrey passed very near the islands early this morning.

Damrey should continue intensifying and could peak at around 90 to 100kph tomorrow. It will could brush Southern Kyushu by Wednesday morning; passing south of Kagoshima. We no longer expect Damrey to affect Saola and in fact, most models are expecting this system to dissipate altogether in the next two days as it encounters the outflow of Saola.

We'll have another update on Damrey later tonight.
Issued (06 UTC) 2pm PhT 073112

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