Friday, June 29, 2012

Tropical Storm Doksuri Update #7

Note: For our latest Video Update, please click HERE

Tropical Storm Doksuri (Formerly Bagyong Dindo) continues to move closer towards the coast of Guangdong Province in China. The storm was last located approximately 210km southeast of Hong Kong. Maximum sustained winds are at 75kph with gusts of up to 100kph. Doksuri is currently moving west northwestward at 30kph.

As of 5pm today, HKO has issued Strong Wind Signal No. 3 for Hong Kong. CMA, on the other hand, has issued a Yellow Alert for much of Guangdong Province. Always refer to your official weather agencies for the latest warnings and forecasts for your area!

VIS Image from NRLMRY

Latest image shows the low-level center has partly moved underneath the cloud overcast. Nevertheless, much of the convective activity remains sheared to the southwest of the storm. Doksuri is also enhancing the SW Monsoon bringing scattered rain showers and thunderstorms for parts of Luzon and Visayas.

Radar image out of Hong Kong depict the heavy rains remain to the south at a distance of around 150km. For the latest radar images, click HERE (HKO Website).

Tropical Storm Doksuri is forecast to make landfall later tonight/early morning Saturday west of Hong Kong. The storm center will probably pass around 150km west of Hong Kong or within 100km west of Macau. Light rains should being affecting the said areas later tonight, along with gusty winds and rough waves. As Doksuri moves further inland tomorrow, expect rains to overspread much of Guangdong Province with precipitation likely affecting even Hainan. Due to the orientation of the convection, the heaviest of rains might miss Hong Kong although the city-state could still experience gusty winds of around 60kph according to HKO and occasional squally showers tonight and into tomorrow. Due to land interaction, Doksuri is forecast to dissipate as early as Sunday morning over Southern China.

VIS Image from NRLMRY

Meanwhile, a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert remains in effect for Invest 96W due to a HIGH chance of development. The storm was last located approximately 860km east southeast of Palau and is moving west northwestward at 20kph. Computer models continue to show the disturbance although most of them have backed off from intensifying it significantly. As far as the track is concerned, preliminary consensus is still taking 96W on a course towards the Philippines. Right now, conditions are favorable for development so we do have to keep watching this system. If it does become a storm, it could approach the Philippines by as early as Tuesday.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning. Stay safe!
Issued (09 UTC) 5pm PhT 062912

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