Saturday, June 30, 2012

Doksuri Update #8 (FINAL) / Tropical Update

Former Tropical Storm Doksuri made landfall roughly 120km west of Hong Kong very early this morning. The city-state recorded sustained winds of anywhere between 60 to 80kph with some locations gusting up o 100kph. Heavy rains, however, have stayed west of Hong Kong and affected some places in coastal Guangdong. Rains were also reported in Hainan. Amounts were mostly around 50 to 150mm and most of the precipitation are starting to wind down in Southern China. This will be the final update for Doksuri.

IR Image from NOAA

Elsewhere in the Pacific, chances remain HIGH for possible development of Invest 96W into a cyclone. The LPA was located 100km south of Yap and is moving northwestward at 20kph. So far, the disturbance seems to be struggling to develop and consolidate. Satellite images show a very broad circulation with loosely organized convective activity. Conditions in the region remain favorable with weak to moderate wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures. JTWC is still expecting 96W to become a depression in the next 24 hours and computer models also continue to show a track towards the Eastern Visayas area.Based on the present movement, 96W could enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow. Some rain showers from the circulation could affect Eastern Mindanao tomorrow as well. It remains to be seen, though, whether 96W can consolidate significantly and become a tropical storm as it moves into the Philippines.

We'll have another Tropical Update tomorrow.
Issued (08 UTC) 4pm PhT 063012

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