Tuesday, February 7, 2012

Tropical Update

 Except for a cold front and a weak trough over the Pacific, we have mainly quiet weather today in the forecast area.

IR Image from NRLMRY


Same pattern for East Asia with the cold front moving through Japan. Temperatures reached the 10-15C range today across Southern Honshu ahead of the front. Behind that though will be another surge of cold NW winds, increasing the chances of snow showers for the Sea of Japan-side of Honshu. Mainly quiet but cold for Korea and Northern China.

PHILIPPINES 3-DAY FORECAST

Forecast graphic, NOT OFFICIAL!

Luzon

With the high pressure dominating the region, it has been mainly quiet for Luzon. The past few mornings have been cold  too with temperatures getting into 10C for Baguio and 20C for Manila. Keeping the same trend over the next few days although there could be some light rain showers developing by tomorrow as the front sags further southward. Another chance of precipitation could arrive by Friday although the bulk will be situated in Visayas and Mindanao.

Visayas

Some localized thunderstorms and rain showers observed on the satellite today, otherwise mainly sunny skies here as well. Showers could continue for the next 3 days. Computer models are developing an inverted trough that could reach the area beginning Friday, with the heaviest rains over Eastern Visayas and Northern Mindanao.

Mindanao

Quiet here as well, coupled with warm temperatures. Next chances for rain will be by Friday as trough moves through. Light to moderate rains could develop, especially on the northern half of the region.

Next update by Friday, February 10.
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Issued (09 UTC) 5pm PhT 020712

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