Monday, July 25, 2011

Tropical Storm Nock-Ten (Juaning) Update #4

This is an intermediate update for Juaning.
Juaning or 10W has intensified into a tropical storm. Tropical Storm Nock-Ten (international name) was last located approximately 80km northeast of Daet, Camarines Norte. Maximum sustained winds are at 65kph gusting to 90kph. Nock-Ten or Juaning is moving westward at 20kph.

Light to moderate rain continue to affect much of Luzon as well as Visayas. Rainfall rates of up to 30mm/hr will continue across the eastern sections and also Metro Manila. This has resulted to the suspension of classes in NCR and other regions (please refer to your local news channel for the latest on the suspension by DepEd).

As of 11am today, PAGASA has raised Signal #2 for Catanduanes, Albay, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Quezon, Polillo Island, and Aurora. Signal #1 is in effect for Apayao, Cagayan, Abra, Kalinga, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Mt. Province, Isabela, Ifugao, La union, Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Pangasinan, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Zambales, Pampanga, Bulacan, Bataan, Rizal, Cavite, Laguna, Batangas, Marinduque, Burias, Island, Sorsogon, and Metro Manila.

There are major changes on the forecast track for TS Nock-Ten. We now think the storm will make landfall in Northern Quezon/Aurora border, near Dingalan later tonight. TS Juaning will pass through the northern portion of Polilio Island as early as 8pm. It is likely that Juaning will continue intensifying before landfall, perhaps reaching a peak intensity of 85kph. Juaning will then pass through the provinces of Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, and Pangasinan.

Please stay tuned for our 3pm update for in-depth discussion and forecast track for TS Nock-Ten (Juaning) as well as updates on Tropical Depression 11W south of Guam.
Issued (04 UTC) 12pm PhT 072611

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