Thursday, June 23, 2011

TS Haima and TS Meari (Falcon) Video Update

Tropical Storm Haima has now made landfall in Southwestern Guangdong Province. Maximum sustained winds are at 65kph; the storm is moving westward at 15kph. With the interaction with land, Haima is expected to gradually weaken moving across Gulf of Tonkin and making a second landfall in northeastern Vietnam moving towards Ha Noi on Saturday.

Tropical Storm Meari (Falcon), meanwhile, continues to show that broad circulation. It was last located approximately 680 northeast of Manila or about 520km east of Tuguegarao. Because of its huge circulation, PAGASA has raised Signal #1 for Albay, Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Isabela, Cagayan, Calayan Group of Islands, Babuyan Group of Islands, Batanes Group of Islands.

Parts of Luzon and Visayas will continue to experience light to moderate rain and gusty winds at times. Rain reports range from 100-200mm across parts of Luzon and Eastern Visayas mainly because of the SW monsoon being enhanced by Falcon.

Computer models and weather agencies are in good agreement as to the overall forecast track for TS Meari. The storm should continue moving northward towards Yellow Sea passing east of Taiwan on Saturday and well west of Okinawa on Sunday. It will then begin extra tropical transition as it moves past Eastern China (near Shanghai) late Sunday. It is expected to bring widely scattered showers as it begins to become a fully developed frontal system.

As for the intensification, most models and agencies are expecting TS Meari to reach a peak intensity of 120-140kph, equal to a Category 1 typhoon. It could have been higher if not for the moderate wind shear currently affecting the storm.

Furthermore, we are expecting TS Meari to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility on Saturday morning.


Issued (0830 UTC) 0430pm PhT 062311

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