Saturday, December 12, 2015

Typhoon Melor (Nona) Update #2

Issued (0430 UTC) 1230pm PhT 121315

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Melor (Bagyong Nona) has rapidly intensified into a Category 1 Typhoon this morning. The eye of Typhoon Melor was last located approximately 420km east northeast of Borongan, Eastern Samar. Maximum sustained winds are now at 140kph with gusts of up to 175kph. Typhoon Melor is currently moving west northwestward at 25kph.

As of 11am this morning, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Catanduanes, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Masbate, Burias and Ticao Island, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, Leyte, Southern Leyte, and Dinagat Province.

IR Image from FNMOC

Latest satellite image shows a pinhole eye that is becoming more defined by the hour. This small eye is surrounded by increasingly deep convective activity. We can also see a very robust poleward outflow on the northern half of the circulation providing good ventilation. Melor will continue to move across very favorable conditions in the Philippine Sea allowing for further intensification in the next 24 to 48 hours.

Typhoon Melor will continue moving in a general west northwestward direction. As of this time, residents along the Bicol Region and Visayas area to closely monitor the developments of Melor. Based on the latest information, Melor is forecast to possibly make landfall near Samar tomorrow morning (Monday) as a strong Category 3 Typhoon. Heavy rains, strong damaging winds, and storm surge will be threatening the region tomorrow.

If you are living along the eastern coasts of Bicol and Visayas, please heed the warnings of your local officials. Consider starting preparations for the impending typhoon. We'll have another update later this evening.

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