Thursday, August 6, 2015

Typhoon Soudelor (Hanna) Update #9

Issued (03 UTC) 11am PhT 080715

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Soudelor (Bagyong Hanna) has managed to re-intensify back to a Category 3 Typhoon this morning. The eye of Soudelor was last located approximately 400km northeast of Basco, Batanes (Philippines) or about 500km southeast of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds are now at 195kph with gusts of up to 240kph. Typhoon Soudelor is currently moving west northwestward at 20kph.

PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #2 for Batanes Group of Islands. Winds of up to 120kph are expected in this region within the next 24 hours. Signal #1 is in effect for Calayan, Babuyan Islands, and Northern Cagayan for the possibility of winds of up to 60kph within the next 36 hours.

Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan has also issued a Land Typhoon Warning as well as a Sea Typhoon Warning for the waters surrounding the island. Numerous heavy rain warnings and advisories are also posted throughout the counties in Taiwan.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows a much healthier-looking Soudelor compared to yesterday. The system looks very symmetrical and convective activity has increased especially on the southern side of the circulation. Radial outflow remains excellent as well. We may see more intensification later tonight as the system approaches Taiwan.

Radar Image from CWB Taiwan

Latest radar image shows the outer rain bands from Typhoon Soudelor are starting to move in from the east. We expect these bands to start affecting the region later this afternoon. Even parts of Batanes Islands will see periods of light to moderate rains, strong winds, and high seas. Heavy rainfall amounts of up to 600mm are possible across Taiwan, especially in mountainous areas.

For the latest weather warnings and radar images for Taiwan, please click HERE (CWB Website)

Typhoon Soudelor will continue moving west northwestward and is forecast to make landfall in Hualien County early tomorrow morning (Saturday). Stormy conditions will begin tonight and will continue through Saturday afternoon. Residual rains may stay until Sunday.

Soudelor will then weaken as it crosses Taiwan but should remain a Category 1 Typhoon as it makes landfall in the Fujian Province of Southeast China by early Sunday morning. Heavy rains will spread towards the region and may linger through the early part of next week.

We'll have another update later tonight.

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