Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Typhoon Goni (Ineng) Update #6

Issued (03 UTC) 11am PhT 081915

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Typhoon Goni (Bagyong Ineng) has slightly weaken as it moves across the Philippine Sea. The eye of Goni was last located approximately 780km east southeast of Basco, Batanes or about 1,060km southeast of Taipei, Taiwan. Maximum sustained winds are down slightly to 185kph with gusts of up to 230kph. Typhoon Goni is currently moving westward at 25kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the eye of Typhoon Goni has become cloud filled and is no longer as well-defined as yesterday. Goni underwent an eyewall replacement cycle but was never really able to recover. The eyewall is struggling to be completely formed which is one of the big reasons Goni is not re-intensifying currently.

With that said, we still expect Goni to pose a threat across Taiwan and Northern Philippines. It may still intensify as well, as it is expected to move across warmer waters in the Philippine Sea. As it gets nearer, scattered to widespread rains due to the enhanced southwesterly flow will also move across parts of the Philippines.

By Friday, Goni is expected to take a sharp northward turn which should avoid a direct landfall. However, Northern Luzon, Batanes Islands, and Taiwan will still see unsettled weather conditions throughout the weekend. Heavy rains, strong winds, and high waves will be predominant in the said regions.

We'll have another update tomorrow.

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