Thursday, July 23, 2015

Typhoon Halola (Goring) Update #4

Issued (03 UTC) 11am PhT 072415

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Typhoon Halola (Bagyong Goring) has begun to weaken as it nears the Japanese Islands. The eye of Halola was last located approximately 460km east southeast of the island of Okinawa. Maximum sustained winds are down to 150kph with gusts of up to 185kph making Halola a Category 1 Typhoon. Typhoon Halola is currently moving west northwestward at 15kph.

IR Image from RAMMB-CIRA

Latest satellite image shows Halola maintaining an eye feature despite the weakening overnight. Increasing wind shear and the advection of dry air has led to the weakening manifested by the degrading convective activity. However, good outflow is helping to slow down weakening and we expect Halola to maintain its typhoon-intensity at least through tomorrow morning.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

There hasn't been much change with our latest forecast track. We are still expecting Halola to move close to the Ryukyu Islands of Japan tomorrow morning possibly moving near the islands of Okinawa and Amami. Winds of up to 120kph along with bands of moderate rains are possible across the islands throughout tomorrow. The stormy conditions will likely persist through the afternoon hours.

Typhoon Halola is forecast to, then, turn northward across the East China Sea before weakening to a Tropical Storm by Sunday morning. The system is currently forecast to head towards the Korean Peninsula by Sunday evening before moving into the Sea of Japan. Parts of South Korea and even Kyushu and Western Honshu should expect stormy conditions this weekend.

We'll have another update later tonight. Stay safe!

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