Sunday, May 3, 2015

Tropical Storm Noul Update #1

Issued (2230 UTC) 630am PhT 050415

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A new Tropical Cyclone has formed this morning near the Mariana Islands. Tropical Storm Noul, the sixth named storm this year, was last located approximately 270km east of Yap or about 600km southwest of Guam. Maximum sustained winds are at 65kph with gusts of up to 85kph. TS Noul is moving west northwestward at 10kph.

The National Weather Service in Guam has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for Yap. Residents are advised to begin preparations for the oncoming storm. Heavy rains and strong winds are possible for the state of Yap beginning later this afternoon and lasting into Tuesday.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows strong convective activity developing in and around the circulation center. Noul is located in an area of low wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures which should help it intensify even further in the coming days.

Tropical Storm Noul will continue moving generally west northwestward and will start impacting the state of Yap later this afternoon. Stormy conditions are forecast to last through tomorrow (Tuesday). The system will then west northwestward entering the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Wednesday evening and will be given the local name 'Bagyong Dodong' by PAGASA. Right now, it is still too early to tell whether Noul will directly impact the Philippines or not.

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