Friday, April 3, 2015

Typhoon Maysak (Chedeng) Update #9

Issued (1230 UTC) 830pm PhT

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Typhoon Maysak (Bagyong Chedeng) continues to weaken as it moves slowly towards the Philippines. The system was last located approximately 550km east northeast of Virac, Catanduanes or about 880km east of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are 155kph with gusts of up to 195kph. Typhoon Maysak is moving westward at 20kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has issued Public Storm Warning Signal #1 for Isabela, Aurora, Quirino, Quezon, Polilio Island, Catanduanes, Camarines Norte, and Camarines Sur. Residents are advised to continue monitoring the developments of this typhoon and always heed the warnings of local officials!

IR Image from NRLMRY

We're seeing a much different Maysak today on satellite. Strong wind shear and the presence of dry air have both led to the continued weakening of Maysak. Fortunately, this typhoon should continue weakening before it moves towards the Philippines.

Typhoon Maysak (Bagyong Chedeng) is forecast to make landfall near the Aurora-Isabela Provinces border by early Sunday morning. Due to the unfavorable conditions in the region, we expect Maysak to weaken to a Tropical Storm before making landfall in Luzon. Despite the weakness, we still expect widespread rains to fall in Northern Luzon which can cause flooding and landslides especially in mountainous areas.

Maysak will, then, exit into the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) by Sunday afternoon.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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