Issued (0130 UTC) 0930am PhT 040515
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Tropical Storm Maysak (Bagyong Chedeng) continues to weaken as it nears making landfall in Northern Luzon. The storm center was last located approximately 80km northeast of Casiguran, Aurora or about 280km northeast of Manila. Maximum sustained winds are down to 85kph with gusts of up to 110kph. TS Maysak is currently moving northwestward at 15kph.
Due to the weakened nature of the Chedeng, PAGASA has lowered Public Storm Warning Signals #2 and #3. However, Signal #1 is still in effect for Isabela, Aurora, Quirino, and Polilio Island. Residents in the said areas are still advised to prepare for strong winds as well as widespread heavy rains.
IR Image from NRLMRY
Latest satellite image shows strong convective activity associated with Tropical Storm Maysak nearing the island of Luzon. The core of Maysak continues to deteriorate and we expect the system to dissipate as it crosses Luzon today. However, Maysak will still bring dangerous weather conditions today especially across Northern Luzon.
Radar Image from PAGASA (DOST)
Latest radar image from Baler, Aurora shows bands of light to moderate rains moving towards Luzon. Expect wet weather conditions to spread into much of Central and Northern Luzon. Even parts of Metro Manila may see some rain showers today. However, the bulk of heavy rains will likely fall across the Cordillera Region where as much as 200mm of accumulation is possible. Landslides and flash floods are possible so residents are advised to remain cautious against these threats.
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Tropical Storm Maysak (Bagyong Chedeng) is forecast to make landfall in the Aurora-Isabela border within the next 3-6 hours. The system will rapidly lose strength and even dissipate as it crosses Luzon today. However, rains will likely linger across the region through tomorrow.
We'll have another update later this afternoon.