Sunday, March 29, 2015

Typhoon Maysak Update #3

Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 032915

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Maysak has rapidly intensified since our last update and is now a Category 1 Typhoon. The system was last located approximately 160km west northwest of Chuuk or about 860km southeast of Guam. Maximum sustained winds are now at 140kph with gusts of up to 175kph.  Typhoon Maysak is currently moving westward at 20kph.

Due to the impending threat from Maysak, the National Weather Service in Guam has issued numerous Typhoon Watches and Tropical Storm Warnings across Micronesia particularly in the state of Yap. For the latest information regarding these weather warnings, please click HERE (NWS)

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the central dense overcast (CDO) associated with Maysak is becoming much better organized. Convective activity remains strong and an eye is starting to appear on the satellite. Radial outflow is also very good and is helping induce that rapid intensification that we've observed in the past 24 hours.

Typhoon Maysak should continue to intensify in the next few days as atmospheric conditions in the region remain favorable for Tropical Cyclones. Computer models are starting to converge on a track that will take Maysak near Yap by Tuesday afternoon (March 31) possibly as a strong Category 3 or even Category 4 Typhoon. Long-range forecasts depict a possible westward track which could take Maysak towards the Philippines by Thursday or Friday. Readers from the Philippines should continue monitoring the progress of this typhoon as it could impact the country later in the week.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning.

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