Sunday, November 2, 2014

Super Typhoon Nuri (Paeng) Update #6

Issued (0030 UTC) 830am PhT 110314

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Super Typhoon Nuri (Bagyong Paeng) continues to intensify this morning and is now in the upper reaches of Category 5 strength. The eye of Nuri was last located approximately 990km southeast of Okinawa, Japan or about 1,030km northeast of Virac, Catanduanes. Maximum sustained winds near the center are now at 285kph with gusts of up to 350kph. STY Nuri is moving northward at 15kph.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the eye of Nuri remaining well-developed surrounded by deep and strong convective activity. The very tight core of Nuri has remained virtually the same since yesterday with no hints of an eyewall replacement cycle occurring anytime soon. Nuri is also displaying very robust outflow channels and feeder bands and adopting a very large appearance on satellite.

Thankfully, though, this monster should stay well offshore throughout its lifetime. It will also start weakening very soon as it moves farther north across the Pacific. Nuri (Bagyong Paeng) is forecast to eventually recurve well south of Japan. It may affect parts of Honshu, including Tokyo, later in the week but the impacts should be minimal. There is the possibility for high waves, gusty winds, and scattered rain showers.

We'll have another update later today.

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