Sunday, September 14, 2014

Typhoon Kalmaegi (Bagyong Luis) Update #6 (w/ Video)

Issued (0830 UTC) 430pm PhT 091414

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Here is our latest Video Update for Kalmaegi containing in-depth analysis and forecasts for this typhoon:

Typhoon Kalmaegi (Bagyong Luis) is now starting to interact with the island of Luzon with landfall expected in the next 3 to 6 hours. The center of Kalmaegi was last located approximately 140km east of Ilagan, Isabela or about 180km east southeast of Tuguegarao, Cagayan. Maximum sustained winds are at 130kph with gusts of up to 165kph. Typhoon Kalmaegi is moving west northwestward at 20kph.

As of 5pm this morning, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #3 for Cagayan, Babuyan and Calayan Islands, Apayao, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Kalinga, Isabela, Mt. Province, Ilocos Sur, Ifugao.

Signal #2 for Batanes Group of Islands, La Union, Benguet, Nueva Vizcaya, Pangasinan, Nueva Ecija, Aurora, and Quirino.

Signal #1 for Tarlac, Zambales, Pampanga, Bulacan, Northern Quezon, and Polilio Island.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the central dense overcast of Kalmaegi has further improved and strengthened. However, the system is running out of time as it is nearing the island of Luzon. Western portions of the core are now beginning to interact with the rugged terrain which should limit intensification.

The center of Typhoon Kalmaegi (Bagyong Luis) is forecast to make landfall in the province of Isabela later this evening. The system will then cross the provinces of Kalinga, Apayao, Abra, and eventually into Ilocos Norte before exiting into the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea). Strong and damaging winds will be felt near the center of Kalmaegi. Meanwhile, torrential rainfall will overspread much of Northern Luzon and even into parts of Central and Southern Luzon.

Weather conditions will remain dangerous overnight and into tomorrow morning. Please stay safe and always heed the warnings of your local officials. Do not use our forecasts in life or death situations!

We'll have another update later this evening.

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