Tuesday, July 15, 2014

Typhoon Rammasun (Bagyong Glenda) Update #11

Issued (01 UTC) 9am PhT 071614

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Typhoon Rammasun (Bagyong Glenda) is now moving into open waters of South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) this morning. The center was last located approximately 20km southwest of Mariveles, Bataan or about 60km west southwest of Manila. Maximum sustained winds have gone down slightly to 165kph with gusts of up to 205kph. Typhoon Rammasun is moving west northwestward at 25kph.

As of 5am this morning, here are the Public Storm Warning Signals from PAGASA:

Signal #3: Pangasinan, Zambales, Tarlac, Pampanga, Bulacan, Bataan, Quezon, Polilio Island, Alabat Island, Rizal, Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, Marinduque, Northern Mindoro Provinces, Lubang Island, Metro Manila.

Signal #2: La Union, Benguet, Nueva Ecija, Southern Aurora, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Albay, Burias Island, Romblon, Rest of Mindoro Provinces (Oriental and Occidental).

Signal #1: Ilocos Sur, Nueva Vizcaya, Quirino, Rest of Aurora, Catanduanes, Sorsogon, Ticao Island, and Masbate.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows the center of Glenda now exiting Luzon Island and moving into open waters. The system moved very quickly overnight passing across Bicol Region and Southern Luzon. Despite landfall, Glenda only weakened slightly and moved just south of Metro Manila by 6am this morning. Winds of up to 120kph were reported across the region causing damage in many areas.

We'll have more updates with damages and impacts across Luzon. Meanwhile, we're still expecting heavy rains and flooding to continue across Central and Southern Luzon including Metro Manila. Winds off the Manila Bay may bring moderate Storm Surge along the coast including Caviete and parts of Manila and Bulacan. Flooding will also continue across many areas as heavy rains will linger throughout the day.

Forecast Track (NOT OFFICIAL!)

Typhoon Rammasun will continue moving quickly to the northwest. It may re-intensify now that it is over the waters of South China Sea. Stormy weather will continue in Central Luzon through this afternoon and evening hours. Bicol Region and Visayas should start to see clearing today though.

Rammasun is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow morning (Thursday). It may intensify to a Category 3 Typhoon before moving towards Southern China. Right now, the forecast is taking Rammasun towards Hainan by Friday morning as a powerful and dangerous typhoon.

We'll have another update later this afternoon.

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