Monday, July 14, 2014

Tropical Storm Rammasun (Bagyong Glenda) Update #7 (w/ Video)

Issued (10 UTC) 6pm PhT 071414

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Please watch our Video Update below for the complete analysis and forecast for Tropical Storm Rammasun:

Tropical Storm Rammasun (Bagyong Glenda) continues to intensify and could become a Typhoon later this evening. The storm was last located approximately 400km east northeast of Borongan, Eastern Samar or about 520km east southeast of Virac, Catanduanes. Maximum sustained winds are now at 110kph with gusts of up to 140kph. TS Rammasun is moving westward at 25kph.

As of 5pm this afternoon, PAGASA has raised Public Storm Warning Signal #3 for Catanduanes. Signal #2 for Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Masbate, Burias and Ticao Islands, Albay, Sorsogon, Marinduque, Southern Quezon, and Northern Samar.

Signal #1 for Romblon, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Lubang Island, Batangas, Cavite, Laguna, Rizal, Bulacan, Pampanga, Bataan, Zambales, Tarlac, Nueva Ecija, Pangasinan, Southern Aurora, Northern Quezon, Polilio Island, Eastern Samar, Samar, Biliran, and Metro Manila.

IR Image from NRLMRY

Latest satellite image shows Rammasun improving with an increasingly symmetrical Central Dense Overcast. Banding is also improved and it looks like the system is trying to form an eye. The wind shear has weakened and the forward speed has slowed down allowing Rammasun to consolidate and intensify. There is a high possibility that this system will become a Typhoon by tonight.

Tropical Storm Rammasun (Glenda) is forecast to make landfall in the Albay or Sorsogon Province by tomorrow morning. It will first impact Samar Island bringing strong winds, heavy rains, and storm surge along the coast. It will move west northwestward across the Bicol Region through the morning hours of Tuesday and eventually move into Southern Luzon in the afternoon.

It will impact Metro Manila by tomorrow evening bringing strong winds and heavy rains in the capital. Much of Southern Luzon and parts of Visayas will see periods of heavy rain in the next 24 to 36 hours so flooding and landslides will be likely.

Rammasun will move into the South China Sea (West Philippine Sea) by Wednesday morning and could threaten Southern China by late this week.

We'll have another update tomorrow morning, stay safe!

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